trend following delusion shattered

Discussion in 'Trading' started by hank rollins, Mar 15, 2005.

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  1. You shouldn't need my acknowledgment.

    Go ahead with your demonstration on your own in the name of better trading for the entire ET community.
     
    #651     Mar 23, 2005
  2. Screen for stocks priced between 20 and 40, minimum volume 200k daily avg. Buy a stock at new 52-wk high, with no prior 52-wk high being made in the last 10 trading sessions. Offer .05 higher from entry, set stop at .50.
     
    #652     Mar 23, 2005
  3. ok, here is a chart (a picture) if this is too complicated for you I will do it in real-time . . . with your money . . . and I keep all the profits. . . . I will assume all the risk. I loose, I cover loss.
     
    #653     Mar 23, 2005

  4. it must be done in real time to have any validity. the past picture means nothing. i have publically posted my market views and calls for over 4 years--i have not seen any calls from you ever. why not provide a few ?
     
    #654     Mar 23, 2005
  5. Please explain how your method makes it possible to show a profit in trading without being able to establish, before any prospective entry, whether or not price will move both in the right direction and to a certain minimum extent, that is, d in the following:

    What is a reliable method that can be applied to past price action to forecast a profitably large positive or negative number d such that (p1-p0)=>d, where p0 is the current market price and p1 will be a marketable price in the near future?
     
    #655     Mar 23, 2005
  6. Here's one, if EUR Jun 05 hits 1.3020 again today, send limit order sell 1.3018 and cover 1.3001. Set stop at 1.3050.
     
    #656     Mar 23, 2005
  7. What don't you understand? Past price action/public information = a new 52wk high, with no prior 52wk high being made in last 10 trading sessions, .05 target.

    Hank, help me out here and explain in english what I'm missing here? I'm trying to sit on my hands today anyway :)
     
    #657     Mar 23, 2005
  8. I have no problem doing it. This was a response to Nickel. If you want in on this the same offer goes for you too.
     
    #658     Mar 23, 2005
  9. What, no response to the chart again? I even put in your "d" so even you could see it.
     
    #659     Mar 23, 2005
  10. Okay, now for the demonstration phase of the challenge.

    What day works for you?
     
    #660     Mar 23, 2005
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