bought some puts in TLT (128,125,123) recently. I have two reasons. fundementally if the stock market crashed, the interest rate gets to rise, so the bond price get to fall. if the economy is not bad as illisioned, actually building strength, the stock market rallies further, the so low rate get to rise, so the treasure get to drop too. in either way, I figure it will drop. I feel it will drop in those two weeks (this week and next week) to 120under. technically it is no question it is a sell. any treasure expert, please do some analysis, is my analysis flawed?