Trading the ES live-the Brooks way

Discussion in 'Journals' started by padutrader, Aug 18, 2024.

  1. Darc

    Darc

    ET has a new Thread King. Sorry @stonedinvestor that new King is @padutrader

    This thread is garnering almost twice as many Hits per Day as the GBA thread!
     
    #861     Aug 30, 2024
  2. Overnight

    Overnight

    Mathematically, that is not possible. 100% is the max win-rate. You can have more than 100% on gains over time, but not rate. Oy!
     
    #862     Aug 30, 2024
  3. volpri

    volpri

    Post that Index card.
     
    #863     Aug 30, 2024
    HawaiianIceberg likes this.
  4. padutrader

    padutrader

    does not, just look good, it is good math


    a small target in a high probability trade means that you will have a very high win rate.

    in fact in a high probability trade you can NOT have a large RR.



    having a small target in a low probability trade ie swing will not work.


    and having a small target, in a random entry trade, should work but it does not. i have tried it and got a win rate of 10%.

    so you cannot enter anywhere without any reference to probability and expect to make money.

    beginners trade a set up and lose, in long run, because of the ignorance of probability.

    what is worse, if they enter a trade, which by chance, has high probability,albeit without ever knowing of that existence, then they will make money and think it was
    the set up that did it.

    it was not- it was the math.

    and then they are hooked.to train that is heading at high speed over a cliff

     
    Last edited: Aug 31, 2024
    #864     Aug 31, 2024
  5. padutrader

    padutrader

    thanks for that.

    yeah i am never happy
     
    #865     Aug 31, 2024
  6. padutrader

    padutrader

    be kind and tell me wtf is a index card.

    between the two of us, we know brooks is KING. leave it at that
     
    #866     Aug 31, 2024
  7. schizo

    schizo

    LOL some imagination you have.
     
    #867     Aug 31, 2024
    padutrader likes this.
  8. schizo

    schizo

    Took you 20 years to realize this? Well, better late than never. :sneaky:
     
    #868     Aug 31, 2024
    padutrader likes this.
  9. padutrader

    padutrader

    no, King @schizo, brooks told me 20 years ago.

    he also told me i could not beat math.

    True

    but i tried.

    my knowledge was bad in math.

    or that i was not motivated to do things, in a way, that i did not like.

    because i did not need the money.

    i now need the money and so i am doing it. and making it.
     
    Last edited: Aug 31, 2024
    #869     Aug 31, 2024
  10. padutrader

    padutrader

    i had some money so i used to trade to make big money.

    and lost always.

    so now i need some money to survive

    and so i try to make small money

    and i end up making big money.

    that is the irony of trading

    there is a lesson in there somewhere and if you find it you will benefit from my experience
     
    #870     Aug 31, 2024
    Darc likes this.