Trading Strategy for Black Swan?

Discussion in 'Strategy Development' started by eaglefeather, Feb 5, 2018.

  1. Anyone care to share their favorite strategy for a black swan? I was thinking about selling leaps for the higher premium.
  2. SteveM


    Try to sit on my hands as much as possible and wait until xyz regains a moving average before getting in.
  3. Bobbybax


    What black swan?
  5. same as was for the white..
  6. algofy


    you missed it man!
  7. tomorton


    Not sure everyone uses the same definition for black swans. However, statistically, most of the largest one-day price falls on the Dow have come out of downtrends, not out of bull markets. I am exclusively trend-following and I try to be in and following as many trends as possible. The EUR/CHF crash in 2015 would have met my criteria for a downtrend and its the regret of my life I wasn't short that day.
  8. ktm


    Black swan? What was yesterday, like 4%?

    Nothing changed yesterday except some rebalancing of trader/investor views of the market. In other words, some people learned that the market also goes down - and it can happen swiftly.

    Fundamentally everything is the same as it was two weeks ago. We didn't learn that Apple is really broke...the Fed didn't raise rates 100bp...We didn't just post a huge surprise negative GDP number.... This is a healthy and necessary function of equity markets.

    And for what we do, it can create some significant opportunities. Lots of people wait years for this kind of volatility.
    comagnum likes this.
  9. lylec305


    Who is doing all the selling? It's not just US markets, it is triggered across the world. Did the worlds 1% wealthiest call each other and say "sell"
  10. srinir


    It was certainly black-swan event for XIV
    #10     Feb 6, 2018
    trader99 likes this.