Trading stock futures

Discussion in 'Journals' started by sridhga, Apr 30, 2025.

  1. sridhga

    sridhga

    And this is the Zerodha account (1st account). Rs. 500,000 deployed for trading and for the month of May it generated more than 10% on the capital.




    May Zerodha Performance .png



    And here's the link to the last 1 year's verified P&L: https://console.zerodha.com/verified/80f5c7a3


    With this both the accounts delivered over 10% in May. Now looking forward to June. Let's see how it goes.
     
    Last edited: May 30, 2025
    #21     May 30, 2025
  2. sridhga

    sridhga

    Let me discuss some losses. It is better to put them on record so that I get reminded later. I traded Motherson futures in February. Since the stock had fallen that day it attracted my attention. Motherson had fallen and I went short. But something happened later. The next day, it gapped up so high and that caused me the single biggest loss in this account for me.

    Motherson losses .png

    Motherson losses .png
    Motherson had fallen because Trump announced tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Motherson supplies auto parts to several automobile companies in Mexico and so it had fallen. I entered short since it triggered my sell signal. Then overnight, Trump announced a pause on those tariffs and Motherson gapped up and cause me the biggest loss.

    What is the lesson here? I normally do not look at the news. I just trade signals. But after this, I became more selective in my scrips and started looking for companies that do not carry geopolitical risks, export risks etc.

    Does news affect trading? Yes it does. Should I trade news? No. Just keep away from scrips that can get jittery with news or scrips which have some events on the horizon especially if outcome of those events impacts sentiment on those scrips.

    Feb was a loss making month in this account. And Feb was the only loss making month. So something to learn from February so as to fix it.
     
    Last edited: May 31, 2025
    #22     May 31, 2025
  3. sridhga

    sridhga

    Yesterday Yes Bank was in uptrend. By day end it was in profit of Rs.11960. This morning, it gapped down big and when I reversed the loss on that trade was Rs. 35360/. More than 1/3rd of the monthly profit that I was making recently under this approach. This stock was in the news as Japanese lender Sumitomo Mitsui wanted to invest in Yes Bank. Today Yes Bank board meeting is yet to take place for approving this deal. I thought this news was already factored in. This board meet is just a formality for a bank which is desperate for funds. Time leading to a pre-planned event is proving to be a difficult phase for the scrips.
     
    #23     Jun 3, 2025
  4. sridhga

    sridhga

    Not so great start for June.

    June start.png




    And moreover every scrip that I traded this month booked a loss.


    June start  1 .png

     
    #24     Jun 4, 2025
  5. sridhga

    sridhga

    This afternoon, I received a notification from my broker Zerodha

    https://zerodha.com/marketintel/bul...f-fo-contracts-of-tatasteel-due-to-dividend-2

    More specifically, the following para is to be noted:

    "Assume you bought 1 lot (5500 quantities) of TATASTEEL futures on June 05, 2025, at Rs. 160, and the daily settlement price at the market close is Rs. 165, you would have made a mark-to-market profit of Rs. 5 per share.

    On June 06, 2025, the previous day’s position will be carried forward at Rs. 161.4 (i.e., 165 – 3.60). If the closing price on June 06, 2025, is Rs. 166.4, you’ll make a mark-to-market profit of Rs. 5 per share."


    If this were true, most of my profit would get wiped out tomorrow morning. Because, I sold Tata Steel June future at 162.5 and, it closed at 158,70. So, I exited before close at 158.63. Although, I made a profit on this trade, I am carrying prior booked losses on this scrip in my account. So, in totality there is a loss.

    I may re-enter this scrip (either long or short based on trend) later after the adjustment is factored in. Let's see how this goes.

    I have a similar issue coming up in BankIndia later during the month.
     
    #25     Jun 5, 2025
  6. sridhga

    sridhga

    This month has been loss making for me so far. I am currently trading Idea and Eternal futures. They are whipsawing as of now.
     
    #26     Jun 18, 2025
  7. sridhga

    sridhga

    Screenshot (182).png


    In the previous months, I managed 10% profit per month. Now I crossed 10% loss for this month and the month is not over yet.
     
    #27     Jun 19, 2025
  8. Everyone gambles, but the rare trick and skill is being able to minimize losses and improve accuracy and understanding. Refinement enrichment

    So many people have drawdown after drawdown. You truly have to dissect the market from a wide tactical and strategical perspective understanding

    Simply tracing surface lines with technical analysis won't get you there. Every basic clown does that
     
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2025
    #28     Jun 19, 2025
  9. sridhga

    sridhga

    Trump's press briefings suggest that USA will attack Iran. That explains his dinner with Pakistan's army chief and messaging afterwards. Looks like the markets are factoring this in. Oil is up and stocks are not getting anywhere. Yesterday TASE hit 52 week high. That is because if USA gets into war with Iran, it takes the pressure off Israel.

    The problem is, we are just receiving the messaging from the US administration. But when are they going to attack? Whenever such messaging is clear but the real event is due, I faced whipsaws in the stock market. This has been my observation before too. Even run up to the Indian budget had a similar effect on my trading account.

    But once the anticipated event takes place, a clear trend starts in the stocks.

    I should identify this in advance so that I can sit out during such whipsaw phases.

    These are the times when the market knows that there is a trigger ahead. And it is waiting for that trigger to activate.
     
    Last edited: Jun 20, 2025
    #29     Jun 19, 2025
  10. sridhga

    sridhga

    Highest monthly loss so far and the month is not over yet.




    Screenshot (190).png
    Screenshot (191).png
     
    #30     Jun 24, 2025