Trading Price:Phase One:Observation

Discussion in 'Journals' started by dbphoenix, Mar 19, 2014.

  1. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    While it's great that so many people have become interested in this, the charts I posted were only to get the ball rolling. Of much greater benefit would be to post something you yourselves have been observing, particularly if you don't want to make the commitment of a journal. It's not about CWS because you're not trading anything. It's first of all about learning to see price but also about seeing something interesting that might lead to a hypothesis or supposition that you want to test, which is where the backtesting thread comes in.
     
    #81     Mar 29, 2014
  2. when anoting this chart i realized i would misread bar 53, thinking this is the the start of an upmove. how to read this properly?
     
    #82     Mar 29, 2014
  3. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    If you're referring to the chart in post #21 (and I assume you are), reading left to right, bar 50 would be the beginning of a potential upmove and the next three would join in that. But 54 wouldn't be in synch with an upmove. In fact, it's longer than any of the three preceding bars, and, overall, this entire upmove beginning with 49 prints a lower high than the upmove topped by 41.

    Is that what you meant? Not thinking about what trades but about what traders are doing.

    I realize that referring to the bars by number can be a pain in the ass, but annotating the chart and saving it somewhere and uploading it to ET isn't a breeze either. Your choice.
     
    #83     Mar 29, 2014
  4. yes exactly, thanks

    is saw potential from bar 53, after penetrating high of bar 45 and bar [51,52],
    to reach the area of 41 bar high
    but indeed the upmove starts at bar 49-50
     
    #84     Mar 29, 2014
  5. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    I see, so you were looking more for confirmation, which is one way of defining an upmove. However, once gets into backtesting, he may find that that's too late for a profitable trade. But then that's partly what backtesting is for.

    Of course, you've been at this for 12yrs, so I'm not telling you anything you don't already know.
     
    #85     Mar 29, 2014
  6. 12 years true, but dont forget I have only 200 posts to my current name and
    thanks
     
    #86     Mar 29, 2014
  7. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    A very Zen quality.
     
    #87     Mar 29, 2014
  8. Fairy tales from William, and the supposed professor.
     
    #88     Mar 29, 2014
  9. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Here's a suggestion: the conditions surrounding parabolic reversals. There sure have been a lot of them lately.
     
    #89     Mar 29, 2014
  10. gears

    gears

    Meaning how to glean whether or not it will continue or be a REV?
     
    #90     Mar 29, 2014