Trading Journal - June

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Seanote, Jun 3, 2002.

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  1. My motto is...if a stock should be going up during a futures rally,but doesn't,go short when the futures turn back down;and if a stock should be going down during a futures selloff,but doesn't,go long when the futures turn back up.
     
    #51     Jun 5, 2002
  2. call OI strike put OI

    1026 45 8774
    7735 47 1/2 10761
    39500 50 22353
    44298 55 43926
    18358 60 5731
    2482 65 1136
     
    #52     Jun 5, 2002
  3. for those looking for swing plays on a possible multiday reversal, take a look at SBSA, USAI and RYL.
     
    #53     Jun 5, 2002
  4. Seanote

    Seanote Guest

    Long 3k KLAC @ 51.50
     
    #54     Jun 5, 2002
  5. nutsneal,

    I don't get your point. the atm's always have more OI.
     
    #55     Jun 5, 2002
  6. Seanote

    Seanote Guest

    Closed 3K KLAC @ 51.15

    - .35 points
     
    #56     Jun 5, 2002
  7. Seanote

    Seanote Guest

    Short 2K MO @ 57.69

    Short total of 5K MO @ 57.74 (swing)
     
    #57     Jun 5, 2002
  8. Seanote

    Seanote Guest

    The most important indication is the OI in the at-the-money calls vs. puts. June is flat but there's huge gap in the July's.
     
    #58     Jun 5, 2002
  9. Sorry I didn't make my point clear.

    What I was getting at is that I have noticed that as we get close to option expiration, there is a tendency for the price of the stock to gravitate toward (and often very very very close to) the strike where the large open interest is. In the case of MO, I was getting at that this could create a GRAVITATIONAL PULL (or tendency) to hold the stock price to the $55 area!

    As with any observation it certainly is not perfect. I just always try to have as much evidence in my favor as possible for any trade.

    I would be interested in observations (of any kind) others have found helpful in improving their trading accuracy.

    Sometimes the evidence I weigh convinces me to take a trade, but often just one additional piece of evidence convinces me to pass on a trade I might otherwise take.

    Again I want to thank Seanote for this thread!!
     
    #59     Jun 5, 2002
  10. NUTSNEAL,

    OK but isn't the pin the price to the strike game usually played in the days right before expiration?
     
    #60     Jun 5, 2002
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