TRADING IS SIMPLE ... (TheRumpledOne)

Discussion in 'Forex Trading' started by TheRumpledOne, Jan 2, 2012.

  1. utter crap!
     
    #31     Jan 5, 2012
  2. <iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/3eGo6zmPezw" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

    EXIT PLAY BOOK.
     
    #32     Jan 5, 2012
  3. “I am not forcing you to accept my concepts. I only request the traders to review the market from time to time keeping in mind my concepts and if found suitable use in the trades or just ignore. Thanks for your opinion.”
     
    #33     Jan 5, 2012
  4. I'll stick with this thread for a while.
     
    #34     Jan 5, 2012
  5. SteveH

    SteveH

    Common question: How do you exit from your trade?

    TRO: "10 pip stop." Profit is "get what you can get"

    Here's a better answer (Word document):

    http://tinyurl.com/83fpy9r

    [note: please ignore the CCI mumbo jumbo and insert your own entry method into this process]
     
    #35     Jan 5, 2012
  6. SteveH,

    To be fair... he did post an exit routine in the other thread.

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3340036#post3340036

    FOREX EXIT PLAY BOOK

    PLAN "A"
    +PIPS
    20 WAIT
    19 WAIT
    18 WAIT
    17 WAIT
    16 SET STOP: ENTRY + 10
    15 WAIT
    14 WAIT
    13 WAIT
    12 WAIT
    11 WAIT
    10 SET STOP: ENTRY + 5
    9 WAIT
    8 WAIT
    7 WAIT
    6 WAIT
    5 SET STOP: ENTRY + 3
    4 WAIT
    3 WAIT
    2 WAIT
    1 WAIT
    0 ENTRY: STOP LOSS ENTRY - 10


    USE STOP MARKET



     
    #36     Jan 5, 2012
  7. [​IMG]

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

    THINK ABOUT IT!!


    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

    STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

    POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

    2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.



    ES, I also made a video explaining the EXIT PLAY BOOK. Thanks.
     
    #37     Jan 6, 2012
  8. [​IMG]

    "Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

    The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

    P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

    =============================================

    "Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

    1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

    2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

    They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

    They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

    =============================================

    1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

    ============================================

    WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

    Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

    One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

    Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

    We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

    We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

    We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

    We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

    The list is almost endless.

    As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

    Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

    =============================================

    PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
     
    #38     Jan 9, 2012
  9. [​IMG]

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    1) Price within 20 pips of the CURRENT daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

    THINK ABOUT IT!!


    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

    STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

    POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

    2) The "within 20 pips of the CURRENT daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

    <-------------------------------------------------------------------->

    PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.
     
    #39     Jan 9, 2012
  10. Looking forward to seeing some actual trade performance.
     
    #40     Jan 9, 2012