Trading is gambling- Only if you make it gambling

Discussion in 'Trading' started by Motivator, Dec 27, 2023.

  1. Great post!

    My understanding of inertia was a description of something that was not moving/changing but I see now that it is a term used to describe the fact that something already moving will continue until acted upon by another force.I guess in trading terms this is the core strength of the trend?

    I can immediately see some ways to to measure this in a rule based system.
     
    #51     Dec 30, 2023
    Slope Trader likes this.
  2. Good Morning zghorner,

    I like your comments.

    Question for you please.

    1. How can the trading outcome(s) be certain rather than uncertain?

    Thank you
     
    #52     Jan 19, 2024
    zghorner likes this.
  3. ironchef

    ironchef

    Thank you for your encouragements.

    What happened in the first two weeks in January is the reason why I need to quantify. In Jan I switched over to the thinkorswim platform and did two weeks of paper trades. Nothing worked. I had two weeks with net paper losses. Prior to this year, from July to Sept, I paper traded and from Sept to Dec I live traded. Both were profitable every single week with profits of about 0.4% per day.

    I have not done anything different and I don't think it is the platform. It seems the stock behaved different after the new year.

    Since I am relying on general patterns and shapes, no indicators, no lines, I can't quantify what went wrong. Need to get back to basic and start over.
     
    #53     Jan 19, 2024
  4. zghorner

    zghorner

    Arbitrage or front running big orders (SOES bandits).
     
    #54     Jan 19, 2024
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  5. Thank you for sharing.

    I'm sure they making big money.
     
    #55     Jan 19, 2024
  6. Overnight

    Overnight

    SOES was better? Hehe. (Remember that nick here?)

    (Of course, SML will never have a small order in stocks, because he is going to do 100 contracts in ES futures, by hook or by crook, to get his 1 million bux).
     
    #56     Jan 19, 2024
    semperfrosty likes this.
  7. 5 million ON.Then 1 million per year.

    In between call of duty challenges.
     
    #57     Jan 19, 2024
  8. Overnight

    Overnight

    I miss video games. :-(

    No time, no time... Bah
     
    #58     Jan 20, 2024
    semperfrosty likes this.
  9. BMK

    BMK

     
    #59     Jan 20, 2024
  10. Sergio123

    Sergio123

    Do you really believe that the market changed? Don't you think that its just displaying charts differently than you are used to?

    If you aren't using indicators and scripting and all of the advanced tools then you aren't utilizing the full power of the platform.

    I am discovering and developing something new on it everyday. I can do some great profitable back testing strategies and paper trading.

    But I still have some psychological barriers to work through preventing me from getting the same performance during live trading.

    I either hesitate and arrive too late or over anticipate and arrive to early.
     
    #60     Jan 20, 2024
    ironchef likes this.