Trading in Luxury

Discussion in 'Journals' started by traderlux, Dec 5, 2009.

  1. SPY preview Wk of 12/5/22, 2nd wk expiry for December, 2022, fri 12/09.

    Options pricing +/-$6.50 move, +/-1.60%, last fri close 406.91, possible range of 400.50 to 413.50 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 380/390 to 410/425 range could hold.

    Dec month open 409.50, so far red start to the month.
     
    #551     Dec 3, 2022
  2. SPY preview Wk of 12/12/22, 3rd wk and monthly expiry for December, 2022, fri 12/16.

    Options pricing +/-$13.20 move, +/-3.35%, last fri close 393.28, possible range of 380 to 406.50 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 360 to 420 range could hold.

    Dec month open 409.50, red start to the month, still going red.
     
    #552     Dec 9, 2022
  3. strategy to consider is to buy SPY put options a month out and 5% below where the market is trading whenever the index breaks the 200 day or 100 day moving averages. For example on Thursday the SPY ended the day at 389.63. The $370 put for Jan 20 was roughly $3.80. I don’t hold these puts into expiry. Instead I trade them every time I can earn $1.00 or more above what I paid.

    If the market fails to fall then I usually sell SPY put options $10 to $15 below the long put strike. For example I buy the $370 for Jan 20 expiry and the SPY is at $380 by the end of December. I sell some put options for Jan 20 at the $360 or $355 put strike to help recover some of the loss the trade is taking.
     
    #553     Dec 16, 2022
    readworkhavefun likes this.
  4. SPY preview Wk of 12/19/22, 4th wk expiry for December, 2022, fri 12/23.

    Options pricing +/-$8.50 move, +/-2.25%, last fri close 383.27, possible range of 375 to 392 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 365, 375/380 to 390/400 range could hold.

    Dec month open 409.50, red start to the month, still going red.
     
    #554     Dec 16, 2022
  5. SPY preview Wk of 12/26/22, 5th and final wk expiry for December, 2022, fri 12/30.
    Market closed Mon 12/26 for Christmas Holiday.

    Options pricing +/-$6.65 move, +/-1.75%, last fri close 382.91, possible range of 376 to 390 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 360, 365/375 to 400/410 range could hold.

    Dec month open 409.50, red start to the month, still going red.
     
    #555     Dec 26, 2022
  6. SPY preview Wk of 1/2/23, 1st wk expiry for January, 2023, fri 1/6.
    Market closed Mon 1/2 for New Years Eve Holiday.

    Options pricing +/-$8.55 move, +/-2.25%, last fri close 382.43, possible range of 374 to 391 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 360/375 to 385/390 range could hold.

    Dec month open 409.50, went red on first trade day, stayed red, with month close 382.43 finished down 6.61%.
     
    #556     Jan 1, 2023
    Adam777 likes this.
  7. SPY preview Wk of 1/9/23, 2nd wk expiry for January, 2023, fri 1/13.

    Options pricing +/-$10.00 move, +/-2.60%, last fri close 388.08, possible range of 378 to 398 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 365/385 to 390 range could hold.

    Jan month open 384.37, went red on first trade day, stayed red Wed, Thu, and Fri turned green to finish week.
     
    #557     Jan 6, 2023
  8. SPY preview Wk of 1/16/23, 3rd wk and monthly expiry for January, 2023, fri 1/20.
    Market closed Mon 1/16 for MLK JR Holiday.

    Options pricing +/-$5.90 move, +/-1.50%, last fri close 398.50, possible range of 392.5 to 404.5 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 370/395 to 400/440 range could hold.

    Jan month open 384.37, red on first trade day,on Fri turned green to finish 1st week.2nd week stayed green.
     
    #558     Jan 13, 2023
  9. SPY preview Wk of 1/23/23, 4th and final wk expiry for January, 2023, fri 1/27.

    Options pricing +/-$7.00 move, +/-1.75%, last fri close 395.88, possible range of 389 to 403 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 390 to 400 range could hold.

    Jan month open 384.37, red only on first trade day, been green ever since.
     
    #559     Jan 20, 2023
  10. SPY preview Wk of 1/30/23, 1st wk expiry for Feb, 2023, fri 2/3.
    FOMC rate change on Wed, 2/1. NFP on Fri 2/3

    Options pricing +/-$9.50 move, +/-2.50%, last fri close 405.68, possible range of 396 to 415 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 390 to 410 range could hold.

    Jan month open 384.37, red on first day, been green ever since. Jan usually a green month, two more days to go.
     
    #560     Jan 27, 2023