Trading in Luxury

Discussion in 'Journals' started by traderlux, Dec 5, 2009.

  1. list of popular stocks
    AA
    AAL
    AAPL
    ABC
    ABX
    ACN
    ADBE
    ADP
    ADSK
    AEIS
    AET
    AGN
    AGO
    AIG
    AKAM
    AKS
    ALJ
    ALXN
    AMAG
    AMAT
    AMBA
    AMD
    AMGN
    AMT
    AMZN
    AOS
    AOSL
    APD
    APH
    APT
    ARRS
    ATVI
    AVGO
    AWK
    AXP
    AXTI
    AZN
    AZO
    BA
    BABA
    BAC
    BBY
    BCOV
    BIDU
    BIG
    BIIB
    BLUE
    BMRN
    BMY
    BP
    BREW
    BURL
    C
    CAT
    CCL
    CELG
    CIM
    CLVS
    CMCSA
    CME
    CMG
    CMI
    COP
    COST
    CP
    CRM
    CRUS
    CSCO
    CSX
    CTRP
    CTSH
    CVCY
    CVS
    CVX
    CYBR
    DAL
    DB
    DDD
    DIA
    DIS
    DKS
    DOG
    DUST
    EA
    EBAY
    EDU
    EEM
    ELLI
    EOG
    ESRX
    ETR
    EW
    EWN
    EWY
    EXPD
    EXPE
    EXR
    F
    FANG
    FAS
    FB
    FCX
    FDX
    FEYE
    FFIV
    FIT
    FN
    FNSR
    FSLR
    GDX
    GE
    GILD
    GLD
    GM
    GOOG
    GOOGL
    GPRE
    GPRO
    GRUB
    GS
    GWPH
    HA
    HACK
    HAS
    HD
    HLF
    HON
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    IBB
    IBM
    ILMN
    INTC
    IRET
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    ISRG
    IT
    IWM
    IYR
    IYT
    JACK
    JNJ
    JNUG
    JPM
    KITE
    KMI
    KO
    KORS
    KR
    KSU-
    LEA
    LITE
    LMT
    LNG
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    LOW
    LPCN
    LULU
    LUV
    LVS
    MA
    MCD
    MCK
    MDT
    MET
    MGPI
    MHK
    MMM
    MO
    MOMO
    MON
    MPC
    MRK
    MRO
    MSFT
    MSI
    MU
    NBL
    NEM
    NFLX
    NHTC
    NKE
    NTAP
    NTES
    NUGT
    NVDA
    NXPI
    OEUH
    ORCL
    ORLY
    P
    PAM
    PANW
    PAYC
    PCG
    PCLN
    PEP
    PFE
    PG
    PM
    PNRA
    POT
    PRI
    PRU
    PYPL
    QCOM
    QQQ
    REGN
    RGLD
    RIC
    RIO
    ROST
    RTN
    SBGL
    SBUX
    SCTY
    SGEN
    SHPG
    SLAB
    SLV
    SLW
    SMH
    SPY
    SQ
    SSO
    STX
    SVXY
    SWHC
    SWK
    SWKS
    SYK
    SYY
    T
    TAO
    TAP
    TASR
    TBT
    TCK
    TD
    TECK
    TFI
    TI
    TIF
    TJX
    TLT
    TMUS
    TNA
    TPL
    TQQQ
    TRV
    TSCO
    TSLA
    TSN
    TSO
    TWLO
    TWTR
    TWX
    TXN
    UA
    UAL
    ULTA
    UNG
    UNH
    UNP
    UPS
    USO
    UTX
    UUP
    UVXY
    V
    VLO
    VMW
    VNQ
    VRX
    VXX
    VYM
    VZ
    WBA
    WDC
    WFC
    WFM
    WMGI
    WMT
    WYNN
    X
    XIV
    XL
    XLE
    XLF
    XLK
    XLNX
    XLRE
    XLU
    XLV
    XOM
    XON
    XRS
    YELP
    YUM
    Z
    ZLTQ
     
    #201     Jul 11, 2017
  2. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-07-24/about-262-million-man-vix-option-play-analysis

    .....from the article....

    Generally speaking, the VIX will rise given a move in stocks lower. That is due to unhedged equity longs who rush in to buy Puts in a stock wash out. Conversely, the VIX will generally drop in an equity rally as longs sell more Calls to create dividends. The VIX is not a fear/ greed index. It is an indicator of dominant market players who are underhedged. VIX only tells you likely speed of a fall or rally, not which way stocks will go.
     
    #202     Aug 13, 2017
  3. trying some signals on hi yield bonds relation to stocks to trade vol, switch between vxx
    and xiv...
    it was saying short vol thru most of year, started to signal caution late july,
    went full switch on 8/4
     
    #203     Aug 17, 2017
  4. here are the current results of my xiv/vxx switch trade

    did some simple back testing for earlier years and started in jan 2017,
    started with small amount of cash,
    bought 10 shares xiv at $50.29, $502.90
    held thru several alerts that lasted less than 3 days

    in june and july cautions started showing up
    on 8/3 and 8/4 the signals were strong
    on 8/7 made the switch from xiv to vxx as follows,
    sold 10 xiv at $94.29, $942.90
    bought 50 vxx at $11.15, $557.50, held $385.40 cash

    vxx on 8/17 @ $13.66, $683.00
    overall $1,068.40, starting with $502.90, net $565.50
    xiv is at $71.50, so with out switch overall would be $715.00, net $212.10

    plan on closing the vxx and go to all cash, wait to see how signals shake out
     
    #204     Aug 17, 2017
  5. $13.55 vxx stc, 8/18
     
    #205     Aug 18, 2017
  6. update on the xiv/vxx switch trade
    main signals used to switch,
    action of stock indexs, positive action, stay short vol
    junk and hiyield bond etfs, positve action, stay short vol
    contango/backwardation, contango, stay short vol

    thinking being that as long as stock traders are satisfied with market action,
    they will also look to junk and hiyield bonds, and have little need for protection,
    once they become concerned, they will get put protection and vix will rise.
    so we would be short vol, with xiv, until a switch signal called for exit of
    xiv, and then go long vol with vxx.

    did some backtest for 2015, 2016, and went live with a small position in Jan 2017,
    results for 2017 have been positive, 3 switches were called, the first 2 were too
    short lived to make an actual switch, on the 3rd, a switch was made and proved to be
    profitable.

    but i think going forward for this trade, looking at the results,
    i am not going to switch into vxx, just switch from xiv into cash.
    i have some other ideas for trading vxx.
     
    #206     Aug 20, 2017
  7. xiv/vxx switch update

    8/18 bto xiv $72.80, 10 shares, $728.00
     
    #207     Aug 22, 2017
  8. xiv/vxx switch update
    as of 9/1/2017, cash $334.90, + 10 shares xiv, $83.72 close, $837.20
    total, $1172.10
    starting amount $502.90, jan, 2017
    signal is still long for xiv
     
    #209     Sep 4, 2017
  9. xiv/vxx switch update

    9/5 sold xiv, $81.31

    all cash, $1148 total

    signal is long vxx, but I am staying in cash
     
    #210     Sep 5, 2017