Trading in Luxury

Discussion in 'Journals' started by traderlux, Dec 5, 2009.

  1. fri 4/1 SPY @ $206.92
    bto apr/15 211 put
    sto apr/8 208 put
    $2.64 Db
    must be closed by short leg expiry apr 8
    goal is to buy back at $3.00
     
    #151     Apr 3, 2016
  2. mon 4/4 the trade was showing a 8% gain

    today tue 4/5 closed the trade at $3.00, about a 14% gain
     
    #152     Apr 5, 2016
  3. sim trade put on fri 4/29
    SPY @ $206.30
    bto may/13 210 put
    sto may/6 207 put
    $2.34 Db
     
    #153     May 1, 2016
  4. wed 5/4 spy @ 204.91
    closed trade at 2.90, .56 gain, 24% return
     
    #154     May 4, 2016
  5. summary 5 trades, 2 break evens, 1@ 50% loss, 1@ 14% gain, 1@24% gain

    have a better understanding of this trade now and that 50% loss could have been avoided
     
    #155     May 4, 2016
  6. VXX thu/fri trade is based on observation that VIX is likely to make a low on thu and then move higher on fri.
    I have been trading this with good results. A variation I have found is to watch for an entry on wed, I did that trade this week and got out this morning.

    i have been doing a 3 lot with VXX and for last three weeks results are gains of $150, $198, and $375, this week i did the wed/thu variation.
     
    #156     May 19, 2016
  7. the VXX thu/fri trade details from actual and some back tested trades

    trade size 3 lot about $4500
    time in trade, exit same day or next day
    risk, estimated at 10%
    gain, about 5%
    win rate, about 70%
    trade entry use 2 min chart looking for a move lower
    trade exit use 2 min chart looking for a move higher
     
    #157     May 19, 2016
  8. FCX, have traded often, on thu BTO wkly 11 call .18, closed this am for .38
    10 lot for $200 gain
     
    #158     May 20, 2016
  9. for the week ending 5/27 I did not do a vxx trade, didn't like the action, but I did mark a wed variation trade for reference with the 3 lot trade size it gained $78, enter wed am at 13.98, exit wed pm at 14.24.



    for the week ending 6/3 I did a thu pm entry and fri am exit, the 3 lot trade gained $150, in 13.11, out 13.61.



    VXX thu/fri trade is based on observation that VIX is likely to make a low on thu and then move higher on fri.
    I have been trading this with good results. A variation I have found is to watch for an entry on wed.
    i have been doing a 3 lot with VXX and for last five weeks results are gains of $150, $198, $375, $78 (trade marked, not taken), $150
     
    #159     Jun 4, 2016
  10. svxy trade entry rules
    vix level below 20-25
    svxy/vix ratio 2.5 to 4.5
    svxy price under 50 (exit before/at 60)

    7/14 closed svxy at 57.75, entry 6/30 at 45.43
    net $1232, 27%, in trade for 2 weeks

    merrill lynch research team says" you want to own volatility in an election year
    and vix spikes above 24 on average in the month ahead of (october) presidential elections
     
    Last edited: Jul 14, 2016
    #160     Jul 14, 2016