Days like this often retest lows a lot and generally finish near the lows, they won't let go of it until closer to 4:00 or after likely, may see a move up than. 3:50 move didn't give much.
No clue, I don't even worry about timing things like that, just trade signals as they come. This is pretty controlled and intentional selling. Doesn't bother me if we get a rally overnight, will still likely be plenty of intra-day trades to take both long and short.
i dont use vwap but the middle line is not at all dreaming. ive been on the long side tonight in nq and es its like old times again massive spikes busting all the shorts stops