Trader P & L (2024 / 2025)

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Wide Tailz, Oct 15, 2024.

  1. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Screenshot_20250624_161216.jpg

    On my way to 100X YTD lol
    6 months left let's see.
     
    Last edited: Jun 24, 2025
    #141     Jun 24, 2025
  2. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    options? futures? show us your ways!
     
    #142     Jun 24, 2025
    Sekiyo likes this.
  3. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Options. Trying to find cheap ATM calls :D
    Can't show because I am still tinkering.

    But an example is CRCL, CRWV currently, I believe the implied volatility is cheap.
    An ATM straddle is worth 1/3 of the distribution (usually 1StdDev or 34.1%).
    Price has to move either to the 16th or 84th percentile of the distribution to BE.
    Which means we make money only 16+16 = 32% of the time (at expiration).
    But since the volatility looks cheap... The straddle is at a discount,
    + We should make money more often (probability wise).

    If the straddle costs 25% of the distribution,
    Then we should make a profit 50% of the time.


    Just buying 1M calls on monster stocks, lately.
    Going forward I'll make sure they're cheap.
    Risk ±5 to make ±10% on a weekly basis.
    The SPY needs to be bullish.

    BUT YOU'RE DOING GOOD !
     
    Last edited: Jun 24, 2025
    #143     Jun 24, 2025
  4. I am waiting for my autographed copy of your book!


    upload_2025-6-24_10-33-24.png
     
    #144     Jun 24, 2025
    Sekiyo likes this.
  5. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Just for putting things into perspective,
    Had 450$ so even a 100x isn't crazy money.
    But yeah can't complain. Just need to keep compounding.

    :D:D:D
     
    #145     Jun 24, 2025
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  6. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Screenshot_20250627_211200.jpg

    Got the 20% gains into CRCL weekly call.
    Do or die. Let's see what next week brings.
     
    #146     Jun 27, 2025
  7. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    last for the month

    upload_2025-6-27_14-55-2.png
     
    #147     Jun 27, 2025
    beginner66 and Sekiyo like this.
  8. hilmy83

    hilmy83

    Slow week. Traded today although i think maybe i shouldn't do these half days

    upload_2025-7-3_15-3-14.png
     
    beginner66 likes this.