<b>Market Slice for week 04.Oct.2010 to 08.Oct.2010</b> Buy Aggressively Buy Cautiously Hold/Wait <b>Sell Cautiously</b> Sell Aggressively (the highlighted option is my current sentiment) <u>S&P-500 Daily % Change:</u> <b>Fri, 8.Oct: 0.61%</b> <b>Thu, 7.Oct: -0.16%</b> <b>Wed, 6.Oct: -0.07%</b> <b>Tue, 5.Oct: 2.09%</b> <b>Mon, 4.Oct: -0.8%</b> <u>No. of Stocks above 40 EMA*</u> <b>Fri, 8.Oct: 86%</b> <b>Thu, 7.Oct: 83%</b> <b>Wed, 6.Oct: 85%</b> <b>Tue, 5.Oct: 87%</b> <b>Mon, 4.Oct: 77%</b> I avoid entering new positions when the number above is greater than 80% <u>No. of New Six Month (26 weeks) Highs*</u> <b>Fri, 8.Oct: 306</b> <b>Thu, 7.Oct: 257</b> <b>Wed, 6.Oct: 289</b> <b>Tue, 5.Oct: 375</b> <b>Mon, 4.Oct: 137</b> <u>No. of New Six Month Lows*</u> <b>Fri, 8.Oct: 9</b> <b>Thu, 7.Oct: 11</b> <b>Wed, 6.Oct: 12</b> <b>Tue, 5.Oct: 11</b> <b>Mon, 4.Oct: 18</b> *The stats above were calculated on the top 3000 stocks by liquidity(not market cap), which captures 99.5% of the overall market liquidity.
<b>Market Slice for week 11.Oct.2010 to 15.Oct.2010</b> Buy Aggressively Buy Cautiously Hold/Wait <b>Sell Cautiously</b> Sell Aggressively (the highlighted option is my current sentiment) <u>S&P-500 Daily % Change:</u> <b>Fri, 15 . Oct : 0.20 %</b> <b>Thu, 14 . Oct : -0.36 %</b> <b>Wed, 13 . Oct : 0.71 %</b> <b>Tue, 12 . Oct : 0.38 %</b> <b>Mon, 11 . Oct : 0.01 %</b> <u>No. of Stocks above 40 EMA*</u> <b>Fri, 15 . Oct : 85 %</b> <b>Thu, 14 . Oct : 88 %</b> <b>Wed, 13 . Oct : 89 %</b> <b>Tue, 12 . Oct : 87 %</b> <b>Mon, 11 . Oct : 86 %</b> I avoid entering new positons when this number is above 80% <u>No. of New Six Month (26 weeks) Highs*</u> <b>Fri, 15 . Oct : 342 </b> <b>Thu, 14 . Oct : 340 </b> <b>Wed, 13 . Oct : 558 </b> <b>Tue, 12 . Oct : 229 </b> <b>Mon, 11 . Oct : 354 </b> <u>No. of New Six Month Lows*</u> <b>Fri, 15 . Oct : 13 </b> <b>Thu, 14 . Oct : 10 </b> <b>Wed, 13 . Oct : 4 </b> <b>Tue, 12 . Oct : 13 </b> <b>Mon, 11 . Oct : 7 </b> *The stats above were calculated on the top 3000 stocks by liquidity(not market cap), Which cpatures 99.5% of the overall market liquidity.
<b>Market View -19.Oct.2010</b> <b>NYSE Percent of stocks above the 50 Day MA: 88.34%</b> Buy Aggressively Buy Cautiously Hold <b>Sell Cautiously</b> Sell Aggressively (the highlighted option is my current sentiment) We are in extreme over bought territory. But market tops are very complex and could stay in overbought zone for extended durations. Since my timing to enter the market has been very accurate, I will NOT hesitate to liquidate my positions and lock in profits on a strong positive day. Good Luck!
<b>Market Slice for week 18.Oct.2010 to 22.Oct.2010</b> Buy Aggressively Buy Cautiously Hold/Wait <b>Sell Cautiously</b> Sell Aggressively (the highlighted option is my current sentiment) <u>S&P-500 Daily % Change:</u> <b>Fri, 22 . Oct : 0.24 %</b> <b>Thu, 21 . Oct : 0.18 %</b> <b>Wed, 20 . Oct : 1.05 %</b> <b>Tue, 19 . Oct : -1.59 %</b> <b>Mon, 18 . Oct : 0.72 %</b> <u>No. of Stocks above 40 EMA*</u> <b>Fri, 22 . Oct : 81 %</b> <b>Thu, 21 . Oct : 79 %</b> <b>Wed, 20 . Oct : 82 %</b> <b>Tue, 19 . Oct : 78 %</b> <b>Mon, 18 . Oct : 87 %</b> I avoid entering new positons when this number is above 80% <u>No. of New Six Month (26 weeks) Highs*</u> <b>Fri, 22 . Oct : 157 </b> <b>Thu, 21 . Oct : 317 </b> <b>Wed, 20 . Oct : 238 </b> <b>Tue, 19 . Oct : 128 </b> <b>Mon, 18 . Oct : 248 </b> <u>No. of New Six Month Lows*</u> <b>Fri, 22 . Oct : 15 </b> <b>Thu, 21 . Oct : 25 </b> <b>Wed, 20 . Oct : 20 </b> <b>Tue, 19 . Oct : 14 </b> <b>Mon, 18 . Oct : 15 </b> *The stats above were calculated on the top 3000 stocks by liquidity(not market cap), Which cpatures 99.5% of the overall market liquidity.
<b>Market View -26.Oct.2010</b> <b>NYSE Percent of stocks above the 50 Day MA: 85.63%</b> Buy Aggressively <b>Buy Cautiously</b> Hold Sell Cautiously Sell Aggressively (the highlighted option is my current sentiment) The markets seem to have experienced the phenomenon of <b><i>Sector Rotation</i></b> without having really lost any market breadth. Money Flow still seems to be inward. We will soon get into over bought territory. But market tops are very complex and could stay in overbought zone for extended durations. Good Luck!
Hey <b>everBoB</b>! Thanks for your question. I trade equity stocks as well. I use ETFs for my more conservative account. I strongly believe that one cannot gain expertise on a lot of fronts, I don't feel confident to trade futures....it is just not my thing. I know what I am good at and focus on getting better at it. I also make sure not to change what works. We would love to hear more about your trading style???
I define a downleg as a few days of selling, last seen in August. We've been running up for two months without any serious pullback. Just a few days ago, you gave a cautiously sell recommendation, now you're giving a cautiously buy recommendation. This economy is not out of the woods yet and the market is extremely vulnerable to a serious sell off. Watch for a sell the news event after the elections.