Tomorrow's Chart Today

Here is 8/11's forecast vs what actually happened on the ES.

As interdim said, don't look at the magnitude of the waves on his chart because they are not suggestive of the actual magnitude of the movement. This isn't even my thread and I'm still annoyed because I feel like people aren't understanding that.

I highlighted the key points with blue vertical lines so you can see that where his spline began to change direction, the ES also began to change direction in most cases.

 

and the 8-10 forecast. All the points didn't match up here, but the "huge" rally at the end was right. It missed the opening high time, but the forecast still suggested that you shouldn't go long at all until near the end of the day, and after the opening high, going long wouldn't have been a good idea.

Posting these for people who browse from their phones or whatever and can't see the .xls files.

 

Included here are the 5min/15min charts from the 6/24/09 FOMC MEETING announcement and the 45min charts for that week 6/22/09-6/26/09.

 

**** Note it’s best to read and review all information including all the charts. A new feature has been added to all the charts. Also the ES 5min chart has been included.

****More new forecasts have been added to the TCT charts. The Yen intraday 10min chart will be included on a regular basis. A sample of the 45min ES intraday chart (7/27/09 to 7/31/09) and Yen 30min intraday chart (8/3/09 to 8/7/09) chart are included.
Compare what actually occurred during those general time frames with the actual price charts.

****A new Forecast has been added to the TCT charts. The MCO weekly was forecast the last weekend of May. It will likely be obvious to you what chart MCO is following. Also the forecast takes you until the end of 2009.

*Note- New Information* - It is quite natural to equate the amplitude of the up and down price movements with the TCT charts.

HOWEVER, DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS ON THE TCT GRAPHS AS A MEASUREMENT OF THE AMPLITUDE OF UP AND DOWN PRICE MOVEMENTS, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE.

To assist you in recognizing this aspect draw right to left channel lines in the form of parallelograms from pivot points. Go back over previous price charts and draw the channel lines and then look at the past B or C TCT charts for those given dates. Although there are advanced techniques for determining which B or C chart to follow, creating channels in the described manner will assist you in determining which chart the market is following in the forecast. They should be followed in real time to get a better understanding unless you are looking at past data.

*Note- More New Information*

Sometimes when one is expecting prices to be moving up or down, a sell off or rally from the data, often price will go into, or form a price Lateral. This is actually representing what you are expecting in the data. Typically this will occur in a countertrend situation, not to say it can’t or won’t happen in the trending component. For example if the market is in an uptrend, and the data says we’re approaching a time frame where it appears a sell off is going to occur, the market (price) sometimes will go into a Lateral and then resumes the upward trend. What appeared as a sell off (in amplitude) was represented in the form of a price Lateral. The opposite may occur in a downtrend. What appears to be a countertrend rally (in amplitude) in the downtrend, the market (price) sometimes will go into or form a Lateral and then resumes the downward trend.

A similar situation may be represented in the TCT graph data points. When the TCT data points are moving in a sideways pattern, up and down in a choppy way, depending on how the market was trending or moving into this time frame, this sideways pattern may represent a continuance or actual change in the trend, and the amplitude of the price move may be significant compared to the up and down, choppy pattern of the data points. These events do occur and by studying the data you will begin to understand and recognize them.

*Note* - Added to the TCT spreadsheet is a Daily and Weekly forecast for the Yen.

The Yen Daily forecast is from 7-20-09 to 8-28-09.

The Yen Weekly forecast is from 7-24-09 to 2-12-10

Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Today’s post (Wednesday August 12, 2009 is for Thursday August 12, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. Be sure to look at all the markets as many opportunities are presented.

The following markets are included in the spreadsheet: ES 15min ES 5min US10min EuroFx10min CL10min GC10min Yen10min Yen Daily Yen Weekly MCO Weekly. Sample only 7/27/09 to 7/31/09 45min ES Chart and the 8/3/09 to 8/7/09 Yen 30min chart.

 

**** Note it’s best to read and review all information including all the charts. A new feature has been added to all the charts. Also the ES 5min chart has been included.

****More new forecasts have been added to the TCT charts. The Yen intraday 10min chart will be included on a regular basis. A sample of the 45min ES intraday chart (7/27/09 to 7/31/09) and Yen 30min intraday chart (8/3/09 to 8/7/09) chart are included.
Compare what actually occurred during those general time frames with the actual price charts.

****A new Forecast has been added to the TCT charts. The MCO weekly was forecast the last weekend of May. It will likely be obvious to you what chart MCO is following. Also the forecast takes you until the end of 2009.

*Note- New Information* - It is quite natural to equate the amplitude of the up and down price movements with the TCT charts.

HOWEVER, DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS ON THE TCT GRAPHS AS A MEASUREMENT OF THE AMPLITUDE OF UP AND DOWN PRICE MOVEMENTS, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE.

To assist you in recognizing this aspect draw right to left channel lines in the form of parallelograms from pivot points. Go back over previous price charts and draw the channel lines and then look at the past B or C TCT charts for those given dates. Although there are advanced techniques for determining which B or C chart to follow, creating channels in the described manner will assist you in determining which chart the market is following in the forecast. They should be followed in real time to get a better understanding unless you are looking at past data.

*Note- More New Information*

Sometimes when one is expecting prices to be moving up or down, a sell off or rally from the data, often price will go into, or form a price Lateral. This is actually representing what you are expecting in the data. Typically this will occur in a countertrend situation, not to say it can’t or won’t happen in the trending component. For example if the market is in an uptrend, and the data says we’re approaching a time frame where it appears a sell off is going to occur, the market (price) sometimes will go into a Lateral and then resumes the upward trend. What appeared as a sell off (in amplitude) was represented in the form of a price Lateral. The opposite may occur in a downtrend. What appears to be a countertrend rally (in amplitude) in the downtrend, the market (price) sometimes will go into or form a Lateral and then resumes the downward trend.

A similar situation may be represented in the TCT graph data points. When the TCT data points are moving in a sideways pattern, up and down in a choppy way, depending on how the market was trending or moving into this time frame, this sideways pattern may represent a continuance or actual change in the trend, and the amplitude of the price move may be significant compared to the up and down, choppy pattern of the data points. These events do occur and by studying the data you will begin to understand and recognize them.

*Note* - Added to the TCT spreadsheet is a Daily and Weekly forecast for the Yen.

The Yen Daily forecast is from 7-20-09 to 8-28-09.

The Yen Weekly forecast is from 7-24-09 to 2-12-10

Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Today’s post (Thursday August 13, 2009 is for Friday August 14, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. Be sure to look at all the markets as many opportunities are presented.

The following markets are included in the spreadsheet: ES 15min ES 5min US10min EuroFx10min CL10min GC10min Yen10min Yen Daily Yen Weekly MCO Weekly. Sample only 7/27/09 to 7/31/09 45min ES Chart and the 8/3/09 to 8/7/09 Yen 30min chart.

Interdim

 

I don't understand the chart, can you post a graph or something?

 

What I am talking about is for es, you have a graph of the yen. Is this for only trading the yen, or do you trade es futures? If so, can you include a graph or chart of the es with that data?

 

Ok, sorry for being stupid. I was able to figure out how to see the es chart in excel.

 

[/B][/QUOTE]

Per OP telling me today was like es5c, I have uploaded image with comparison to actual 5 min es chart.

 

**** Note it’s best to read and review all information including all the charts. A new feature has been added to all the charts. Also the Intraday ES 45Min (8/17/09 to 8/21/09 )and ES 5Min chart are included, as well as the Intraday Eurofx 30Min 8/17/09 to 8/21/09.

****The Yen intraday 10min chart is included on a regular basis.

****A new Forecast has been added to the TCT charts. The MCO weekly was forecast the last weekend of May. It will likely be obvious to you what chart MCO is following. Also the forecast takes you until the end of 2009.

*Note- New Information* - It is quite natural to equate the amplitude of the up and down price movements with the TCT charts.

HOWEVER, DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS ON THE TCT GRAPHS AS A MEASUREMENT OF THE AMPLITUDE OF UP AND DOWN PRICE MOVEMENTS, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE.

To assist you in recognizing this aspect draw right to left channel lines in the form of parallelograms from pivot points. Go back over previous price charts and draw the channel lines and then look at the past B or C TCT charts for those given dates. Although there are advanced techniques for determining which B or C chart to follow, creating channels in the described manner will assist you in determining which chart the market is following in the forecast. They should be followed in real time to get a better understanding unless you are looking at past data.

*Note- More New Information*

Sometimes when one is expecting prices to be moving up or down, a sell off or rally from the data, often price will go into, or form a price Lateral. This is actually representing what you are expecting in the data. Typically this will occur in a countertrend situation, not to say it can’t or won’t happen in the trending component. For example if the market is in an uptrend, and the data says we’re approaching a time frame where it appears a sell off is going to occur, the market (price) sometimes will go into a Lateral and then resumes the upward trend. What appeared as a sell off (in amplitude) was represented in the form of a price Lateral. The opposite may occur in a downtrend. What appears to be a countertrend rally (in amplitude) in the downtrend, the market (price) sometimes will go into or form a Lateral and then resumes the downward trend.

A similar situation may be represented in the TCT graph data points. When the TCT data points are moving in a sideways pattern, up and down in a choppy way, depending on how the market was trending or moving into this time frame, this sideways pattern may represent a continuance or actual change in the trend, and the amplitude of the price move may be significant compared to the up and down, choppy pattern of the data points. These events do occur and by studying the data you will begin to understand and recognize them.

*Note* - Added to the TCT spreadsheet is a Daily and Weekly forecast for the Yen.

The Yen Daily forecast is from 7-20-09 to 8-28-09.

The Yen Weekly forecast is from 7-24-09 to 2-12-10

Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Today’s post (Sunday August 16, 2009 is for Monday August 17, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. Be sure to look at all the markets as many opportunities are presented.

The following markets are included in the spreadsheet: ES 45Min ES15min ES5min US10min Eurofx30min EuroFx10min CL10min GC10min Yen10min Yen Daily Yen Weekly MCO Weekly.

Interdim