We could also infer that if most of the charts finish lower, the markets will finish lower also. ... Interdim will have to confirm our inferences.
*Note* - Added to the TCT spreadsheet is a Daily and Weekly forecast for the Yen. The Yen Daily forecast is from 7-20-09 to 8-28-09. The Yen Weekly forecast is from 7-24-09 to 2-12-10 Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Todayâs post (Wednesday July 22, 2009 is for Thursday July 23, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. By now, some of you realize that not only does the forecast provide you with the FORM, of the actual price chart of the intraday, daily, weekly data, but also these forecasts provide you the TREND or DIRECTION of the market over a general time line. At the end of the forecast you will see a reflection of the actual price chart that occurred in either the B or C chart. REMEMBER; DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS AS A MEASUREMENT OF AMPLITUDE, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE. THE FOLLOWING MARKETS ARE INCLUDED IN THE SPREADSHEET: ES (MAY BE FOLLOWED ON 5MIN OR 15MIN) US10MIN EUROFX10MIN CL10MIN GC10MIN YEN DAILY YEN WEEKLY Interdim
*Note- New Information* - It is quite natural to equate the amplitude of the up and down price movements with the TCT graphs. HOWEVER, DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS ON THE TCT GRAPHS AS A MEASUREMENT OF THE AMPLITUDE OF UP AND DOWN PRICE MOVEMENTS, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE. To assist you in recognizing this aspect draw right to left channel lines in the form of parallelograms from pivot points. Go back over previous price charts and draw the channel lines and then look at the past B or C TCT graphs for those given dates. Also this is not an attempt to defend the forecast as being right or wrong. The data is what it is, mathematically derived without any optimization. *Note* - Added to the TCT spreadsheet is a Daily and Weekly forecast for the Yen. The Yen Daily forecast is from 7-20-09 to 8-28-09. The Yen Weekly forecast is from 7-24-09 to 2-12-10 Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Todayâs post (Thursday July 23, 2009 is for Friday July 24, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. The following markets are included in the spreadsheet: ES (may be followed on 5min or 15min) US10min EuroFx10min CL10min GC10min Yen Daily Yen Weekly Interdim
I have followed your thread with great interest. Market behavior has been unusual lately. Actually I find it quite odd, especially of late. I suppose that may be a reflection of light volume and the consequent ease with which prices can be pushed hither and yon by major participants. I notice that sometimes the TCT plots do a quite good job of predicting the general form of ES 15 min trading, even though timing may be off, but other times not so good. Nevertheless, please keep posting. Your efforts are very much appreciated. I have a feeling that your TCT predictions will do better after Labor Day, when greater volume returns. Would you care to comment on that?
Thank you for your comments and question. To answer your question volumes will not affect the predictions or their outcome. They are not considered, or any part of the algorithm. When one is expecting prices to be moving up or down, a sell off or rally from the data, often price will go into, or form a price Lateral. This is actually representing what you are expecting in the data. Typically this will occur in a countertrend situation, not to say it canât or wonât happen in the trending component. For example the market is in an uptrend, the data says were approaching a time frame where it appears a sell off is going to occur, the market (price) goes into a Lateral and then resumes the upward trend. What appeared as a sell off (amplitude) was represented in the form of a price Lateral. The opposite may occur in a downtrend with a reverse scenario. There other aspects that will be discussed over time. Another point to make is that 5min &45 min intraday data is available, along with the Daily and Weekly data for the ES. Right now it would just confuse matters to present them. This is another reason why the Yen was posted separately in Daily and Weekly data only. More information and explanations will be provided over time. Interdim
*Note- New Information* - It is quite natural to equate the amplitude of the up and down price movements with the TCT graphs. HOWEVER, DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS ON THE TCT GRAPHS AS A MEASUREMENT OF THE AMPLITUDE OF UP AND DOWN PRICE MOVEMENTS, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE. To assist you in recognizing this aspect draw right to left channel lines in the form of parallelograms from pivot points. Go back over previous price charts and draw the channel lines and then look at the past B or C TCT graphs for those given dates. Also this is not an attempt to defend the forecast as being right or wrong. The data is what it is, mathematically derived without any optimization. *Note* - Added to the TCT spreadsheet is a Daily and Weekly forecast for the Yen. The Yen Daily forecast is from 7-20-09 to 8-28-09. The Yen Weekly forecast is from 7-24-09 to 2-12-10 Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Todayâs post (Sunday July 26, 2009 is for Monday July 27, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. The following markets are included in the spreadsheet: ES (may be followed on 5min or 15min) US10min EuroFx10min CL10min GC10min Yen Daily Yen Weekly Interdim
*Note- New Information* - It is quite natural to equate the amplitude of the up and down price movements with the TCT graphs. HOWEVER, DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS ON THE TCT GRAPHS AS A MEASUREMENT OF THE AMPLITUDE OF UP AND DOWN PRICE MOVEMENTS, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE. To assist you in recognizing this aspect draw right to left channel lines in the form of parallelograms from pivot points. Go back over previous price charts and draw the channel lines and then look at the past B or C TCT graphs for those given dates. Also this is not an attempt to defend the forecast as being right or wrong. The data is what it is, mathematically derived without any optimization. *Note* - Added to the TCT spreadsheet is a Daily and Weekly forecast for the Yen. The Yen Daily forecast is from 7-20-09 to 8-28-09. The Yen Weekly forecast is from 7-24-09 to 2-12-10 Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Todayâs post (Monday July 27, 2009 is for Tuesday July 28, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. Be sure to look at all the markets as many opportunities are presented. The following markets are included in the spreadsheet: ES (may be followed on 5min or 15min) US10min EuroFx10min CL10min GC10min Yen Daily Yen Weekly Interdim
*Note- New Information* - It is quite natural to equate the amplitude of the up and down price movements with the TCT graphs. HOWEVER, DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS ON THE TCT GRAPHS AS A MEASUREMENT OF THE AMPLITUDE OF UP AND DOWN PRICE MOVEMENTS, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE. To assist you in recognizing this aspect draw right to left channel lines in the form of parallelograms from pivot points. Go back over previous price charts and draw the channel lines and then look at the past B or C TCT graphs for those given dates. *Note- More New Information* Sometimes when one is expecting prices to be moving up or down, a sell off or rally from the data, often price will go into, or form a price Lateral. This is actually representing what you are expecting in the data. Typically this will occur in a countertrend situation, not to say it canât or wonât happen in the trending component. For example if the market is in an uptrend, and the data says weâre approaching a time frame where it appears a sell off is going to occur, the market (price) sometimes will go into a Lateral and then resumes the upward trend. What appeared as a sell off (in amplitude) was represented in the form of a price Lateral. The opposite may occur in a downtrend. What appears to be a countertrend rally (in amplitude) in the downtrend, the market (price) sometimes will go into or form a Lateral and then resumes the downward trend. A similar situation may be represented in the TCT graph data points. When the TCT data points are moving in a sideways pattern, up and down in a choppy way, depending on how the market was trending or moving into this time frame, this sideways pattern may represent a continuance or actual change in the trend, and the amplitude of the price move may be significant compared to the up and down, choppy pattern of the data points. Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Todayâs post (Tuesday July 28, 2009 is for Wednesday July 28, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. Be sure to look at all the markets as many opportunities are presented. The following markets are included in the spreadsheet: ES (may be followed on 5min or 15min) US10min EuroFx10min CL10min GC10min Yen Daily Yen Weekly Interdim
****A new Forecast has been added to the TCT charts. The MCO weekly was forecast the last weekend of May. It will likely be obvious to you what chart MCO is following. Also the forecast takes you until the end of 2009. *Note- New Information* - It is quite natural to equate the amplitude of the up and down price movements with the TCT graphs. HOWEVER, DO NOT LOOK AT THE SEGMENTS OF DATA POINTS ON THE TCT GRAPHS AS A MEASUREMENT OF THE AMPLITUDE OF UP AND DOWN PRICE MOVEMENTS, AS IT IS A MATTER OF FORM, TREND OR DIRECTION OF THE MARKET OVER THE GENERAL TIME LINE. To assist you in recognizing this aspect draw right to left channel lines in the form of parallelograms from pivot points. Go back over previous price charts and draw the channel lines and then look at the past B or C TCT graphs for those given dates. *Note- More New Information* Sometimes when one is expecting prices to be moving up or down, a sell off or rally from the data, often price will go into, or form a price Lateral. This is actually representing what you are expecting in the data. Typically this will occur in a countertrend situation, not to say it canât or wonât happen in the trending component. For example if the market is in an uptrend, and the data says weâre approaching a time frame where it appears a sell off is going to occur, the market (price) sometimes will go into a Lateral and then resumes the upward trend. What appeared as a sell off (in amplitude) was represented in the form of a price Lateral. The opposite may occur in a downtrend. What appears to be a countertrend rally (in amplitude) in the downtrend, the market (price) sometimes will go into or form a Lateral and then resumes the downward trend. A similar situation may be represented in the TCT graph data points. When the TCT data points are moving in a sideways pattern, up and down in a choppy way, depending on how the market was trending or moving into this time frame, this sideways pattern may represent a continuance or actual change in the trend, and the amplitude of the price move may be significant compared to the up and down, choppy pattern of the data points. These events do occur and by studying the data you will begin to understand and recognize them. *Note* - Added to the TCT spreadsheet is a Daily and Weekly forecast for the Yen. The Yen Daily forecast is from 7-20-09 to 8-28-09. The Yen Weekly forecast is from 7-24-09 to 2-12-10 Comments about the forecasts will be made on occasion. These forecasts are being posted before they occur. Check the times of the previous post. You are encouraged to download the previous forecasts and look at the actual price charts over the general time line for the given date of the forecast. Todayâs post (Wednesday July 29, 2009 is for Thursday July 30, 2009-intraday data) and will allow you to follow along in real time. Remember this can be done for any market or time frame, daily and weekly included. Be sure to look at all the markets as many opportunities are presented. The following markets are included in the spreadsheet: ES (may be followed on 5min or 15min) US10min EuroFx10min CL10min GC10min Yen Daily Yen Weekly MCO Weekly Interdim
I think Interdim, is giving us the secret Goldman Sachs formula that was stolen a few weeks ago...right around the time this post started...hmmmm July 5 (Reuters) [While most in the United States were celebrating the Fourth of July holiday, a Russian immigrant living in New Jersey was being held on federal charges of stealing secret computer trading codes from a major New York-based financial institution. Authorities did not identify the firm, but sources say that institution is none other than Goldman Sachs. The charges, if proven, are significant because the codes that the accused, Sergey Aleynikov, tried to steal are the secret sauce to Goldman's automated stock and commodities trading business. Federal authorities contend the computer codes and related-trading files that Aleynikov uploaded to a German-based website help this major financial institution generate millions of dollars in profits each year.The platform is one of the things that gives Goldman an advantage over the competition when it comes to the rapid-fire trading of stocks and commodities. Federal authorities say the platform quickly processes rapid developments in the markets and using secret mathematical formulas, allows the firm to make highly-profitable automated trades. (and maybe pre-emptive ones at that)