Tomorrow's Chart Today-Part 2

Discussion in 'Journals' started by interdim, Jun 12, 2016.

  1. After years of attempting to determine direction I found only moderate success, maybe hit or miss is a better way of describing it. But one aspect that kept manifesting itself was the data's ability to show me when the big moves were going to occur. Since then I have discovered that is far more valuable. By taking the Max and Min from certain data sets these could be isolated and easily spotted. e.g take for example this past Friday:

    upload_2017-12-31_15-3-37.png

    or sometimes they can be spotted within the two day forecast in this example that occurred on 2/28/17 and 3/1/17.

    upload_2017-12-31_15-6-2.png

    or it could be seen on a 1 day forecast for 3/1/17

    upload_2017-12-31_15-7-25.png

    Or how about the sell off then recent rally in Gold...check out the Daily from 10/2 to 12/29/17:

    upload_2017-12-31_15-12-21.png


    These will be the only types of data I will look for and trade in 2018. Have a Happy and Safe New Year!
     
    #321     Dec 31, 2017
  2. The following is a representation or reflection of the next 2 days 30min ES price and volatility chart. I prefer to look at these charts as price or volatility increasing or decreasing. Sometimes on price charts during counter trend moves the market will move sideways, then take off when the trend resume's. The 2018 Weekly for the British Pound was posted earlier in another thread.

    upload_2018-1-28_21-7-11.png upload_2018-1-28_21-7-48.png
     
    #322     Jan 28, 2018
  3. Here are recent algorithms I have been working with. Actually I am very satisfied with them. Looking at them as to whether price or volatility is increasing or decreasing is best. Sometimes sideways movement is indicated by counter trend indications on the price chart, otherwise movements up or down have been very consistent. Here is the ES Price and Volatility charts for the Daily from 1/1 to 3/30.
    upload_2018-1-29_8-46-34.png upload_2018-1-29_8-47-13.png
     
    #323     Jan 29, 2018
  4. tortoise

    tortoise

    Jack Hershey lives!
     
    #324     Jan 29, 2018
  5. As indicated by this chart you can see that volatility will start to decline again, and especially in March. One would have to go to the intraday charts to find the volatility as the daily forecast shows the beginning of a decline in volatility. The sequences will show you the price swings, an example has been provided with explanation.

    upload_2018-2-8_8-35-7.png

    Black arrow indicates where the beginning of a new swing begins. In this case sequentially higher valley data points. Works the same way if the valley data points were sequentially going lower. Price goes in the same direction during these sequences until the end (Red arrow). Sometimes the market continues after the sequence ends until the next sequence begins, sometimes not.
     
    #325     Feb 8, 2018