Tomorrow will be a very good day...

your secret sauce called the bottom in 2020? and is giving a buy-signal now?

 

Good call. You're a little above 50/50 at this point, plenty good enough to trade if you cut losses and let winnerz run.

 

Early 2022 was a little trickier. It actually turned negative in late 2021:

 

Note that all of those people you cite also had tremendous skills backing their judgment. Feelings alone are useless without those - and having skills will often give you a "sixth sense" about things that someone with no skills could never have.

Ask any soldier who's served in combat about that feeling of "shit's about to go down." Hell, anyone who's street-smart - cops, gang-bangers, or homeless people. They all have radar with very sensitive antennas, and those who survive those environments will always act on those feelings. Usually without even a second thought.

 

%%
Exactly\
i think Kim R, Olympic champion shotgun shooter, she averages 500 shots per week in practice.
Average for most , including me would be 125 per year...........................................

 

When I was teaching pistol-based self-defense with Kent Turnipseed, he insisted that I put 1000 rounds/week downrange for six weeks, and at least 100 per week after that - in fact, he'd only let me instruct in the classroom until I got through that first part. Made me damn sore for quite a while, but then magic happened: I could get on target and put them all in the 10-ring without even thinking about it (in fact, thinking got in the way.) It was expensive - not as crazy expensive as it would be now, but still high - and definitely required for the work we were doing.

 

Were you using factory loads or reloads? If you could have found a decent local re-loader, you could have saved a mag-load of cash.

 

I used to have a very nice Dillon press set up, and reloaded myself - then found a guy who did excellent-quality reloads at a price that made it pointless to spend my time (he was great on custom orders, too.) Sold that whole rig... I kinda miss it. There's a whole skill set to it, and being able to seat primers and bullets cleanly and properly comes with a certain amount of pleasure in your own competence.

 

it's really not that hard to reverse engineer that "edge"

 

sorry, this chart looks like KCalhoun's sex doll index
[people become less extravagant in recession].