Timing Market Turns

Discussion in 'Journals' started by W. B. Busin, Oct 3, 2005.

  1. Market Timing – 12/15/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    We are moving to 100% long in the Dow and its derivatives.
    We are moving to 100% long in the S&P 500 and its derivatives.
    We are moving to 100% long in the NASDAQ 100 and its derivatives.

    These are unhedged positions. The outlook is a 3 to 6 month time horizon, IF new highs are made and confirmed in the 3 cash indexes mentioned quite soon. Otherwise the position will revert to a trading position.

    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #111     Dec 15, 2005
  2. Market Timing – 12/19/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    We are still 100% long in the Dow and its derivatives.
    We are still 100% long in the S&P 500 and its derivatives.
    We are still 100% long in the NASDAQ 100 and its derivatives.

    <b>Quote from 12/15:
    "These are unhedged positions. The outlook is a 3 to 6 month time horizon, IF new highs are made and confirmed in the 3 cash indexes mentioned quite soon. Otherwise the position will revert to a trading position."</b>

    We are not getting the price and volume structure we expected. although the volume acceleration looked promising on Friday's open.

    We took the long positions in spite of extreme bearish indicators in sentiment indicators. For example, the raw 1-day total puts to calls were at levels not seen since the first 2 quarters of 2000. This contrary indication was juxtapposed to the expected volume acceleration, which did come forth.

    The indexes will struggle over the next week with volatility rising rapidly, giveing traders many opportunities in both upward and downward moves.


    Time Loci - 5 minute

    9:40
    9:45

    more to come


    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #112     Dec 19, 2005
  3. Market Timing – 12/19/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:

    0940
    0945
    1015
    1020
    1040
    1051
    1103


    1155

    1225

    more coming



    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin


    edit: at 1003
    I apologize for not entering the 1000 turn. It was there but in haste, I didn't notice that I had not entered it.
     
    #113     Dec 19, 2005
  4. Market Timing – 12/19/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:

    0940
    0945
    <b>1013-1015</b>
    1020
    1040
    1051
    1103


    1155

    1225

    more coming



    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin


    edit: at 1003
    I apologize for not entering the 1000 turn. It was there but in haste, I didn't notice that I had not entered it.
     
    #114     Dec 19, 2005
  5. Market Timing – 12/19/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:

    0940
    0945
    1013-1015
    1020
    1040
    1051
    1103


    1155

    1225
    1240
    1259-1300





    1550
    more coming



    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #115     Dec 19, 2005
  6. Market Timing – 12/19/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:

    0940
    0945
    1013-1015
    1020
    1040
    1051
    1103


    1155

    1225
    1240
    <b>1245
    1251
    1259-1300
    1308
    1315
    - - 1340

    1420</b>

    1550
    more coming



    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #116     Dec 19, 2005
  7. Market Timing – 12/19/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:

    0940
    0945
    1013-1015
    1020
    1040
    1051
    1103


    1155

    1225
    1240
    1245
    1251
    1259-1300
    1308
    1315
    - - 1340

    1420

    - - 1512
    - - 1530


    1550
    more coming



    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #117     Dec 19, 2005
  8. Market Timing – 12/19/2005

    Timing Market Turns

    That's all the programme has for today.
    Hope they time loci were helpful.



    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #118     Dec 19, 2005
  9. Market Timing – 12/20/2005

    Timing Market Turns

    My data feed or the exchange data is not proper at this time.

    Back later. Sorry


    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #119     Dec 20, 2005
  10. Market Timing – 12/19/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:

    1140
    1145
    <b>1208</b>
    1213
    1225

    more coming



    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #120     Dec 20, 2005