Timing Market Turns

Discussion in 'Journals' started by W. B. Busin, Oct 3, 2005.

  1. It is recovering the origin of the strong up move.

    SPX support was fragile at 1267.

    more later

    WBB
     
    #101     Dec 13, 2005
  2. Market Timing – 12/14/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:
    10:45 for a high

    We are biased toward a low for the time locus occurring at Thursday's close. It could be the lowest low or it could edge lower into Friday's opening moments.

    Nonetheless, the time locus could be either low or high, and we will trade accordingly. If it is a high of significance, we will be re-evaluating our bullish view for the remnant of the year and into Spring.


    More time loci coming this morning.


    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas

    W. B. Busin
     
    #102     Dec 14, 2005
  3. Market Timing – 12/14/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:
    10:45 for a high

    11:05
    11:35
    11:40



    More time loci coming .


    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas

    W. B. Busin
     
    #103     Dec 14, 2005
  4. Market Timing – 12/14/2005

    Timing Market Turns

    Price reaction yesterday and Monday have yielded projections for a low near SPX 1250, but at least near the 1255 level.

    We prefer to see the SPX 1258 level hold and begin to move upward from there.

    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas

    W. B. Busin
     
    #104     Dec 14, 2005
  5. Market Timing – 12/14/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:
    10:45 for a high

    11:05
    11:35
    11:40

    2:45

    3:30

    Structure of ES and YM March contracts have acquired a look of 5 up completion. So we go on with the view of a short term correction is coming in this option expiration week.

    We would like to be very wrong about that view. We hope to be proved wrong. This type of view keeps us in cash for the moment.


    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas

    W. B. Busin
     
    #105     Dec 14, 2005
  6. Market Timing – 12/14/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:
    10:45 for a high

    11:05
    11:35
    11:40

    12:42

    1:25
    1:35-37
    1:40
    2:13
    2:45

    3:30

    If intraday trend is in control, the 3:30 time locus should see the SPX working towards the 1260 level.

    I must attend to business matters for the rest of the day.

    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #106     Dec 14, 2005
  7. Yesterday's downward move to the afternoon low seemed incomplete. Our projection toward SPX 1260 still stands.

    The indexes seem to be making up for the foot dragging yesterday.

    We're running the data - we'll have some time loci later this morning.

    Good Trading and God bless

    W. B. Busin
     
    #107     Dec 15, 2005
  8. Market Timing – 12/15/2005

    Timing Market Turns


    S&P 500 (SPX) - Time Loci - points of change of direction (bold are showing strength). All times are EST for convenience.

    5 minute time segments:
    1210-12
    1229
    1240
    1250
    1345-48

    more coming

    Good Trading and God bless

    Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah

    W. B. Busin
     
    #108     Dec 15, 2005

  9. P.S. still anticipating a downward move toward SPX 1258-1261 today.
     
    #109     Dec 15, 2005
  10. 1305
    1318
    1331

    1509
     
    #110     Dec 15, 2005