Time to Short T-Bills?

Discussion in 'Economics' started by achilles28, Oct 2, 2008.

  1. achilles28


    Looks like a ton of capital fled equities/commodities into bonds, to avoid market turmoil/uncertainty (aka, the "safety trade").

    After the House Passes the Bailout on Friday, we should see bonds sell off as some confidence returns to markets and money moves back into equities/commodities, at least for a short term bounce.

    This is probably a 1 week swing trade.

    After that, the market will probably head back down = bonds up.

  2. TT1


    I think the yield curve will get steeper. Short rates will stay low and longer dated 10's and 30's rates will rise.

    Steeper yield curve is beneficial to the banks.
  3. Borrow short, lend long :D