Every one can get it. But being overweight, obese, morbidly obese increases your chances of needing intensive care in hospital when you get it. Probably because there is more pressure on your lungs, and fat people typically get out of breath quicker anyway.
"Obesity causes mechanical compression of the diaphragm, lungs, and chest cavity, which can lead to restrictive pulmonary damage. Furthermore, excess fat decreases total respiratory system compliance, increases pulmonary resistance, and reduces respiratory muscle strength." If you are fat and unfit and cant get a ventilator you don't want to be catching this. Thats millions of people in the US.
"short but sharp recession"? I don't think so. Wasn't there economic consensus even a year ago that the global credit cycle will end in Q1 or Q2 of 2020? If anything the virus is the catalyst that opens the floodgates. There will be a very deep and long global recession or even depression because this time it is synchronous around the world. China will not be there to pick up the slack.
It just might be the last straw before breaking the camel's back. I believe USA will come out of this with a broken arm or two but still standing nonetheless. However, many countries around the world will not.
So, selection is still possible? USA will come out of this roaring then. (But, as Churchill would say, after trying all other scenarios) Look at the bunch of confident, cigar-smoking, wasp professionals: