This is the last move for Crude --shaping up just like the wheat trade!

Discussion in 'Trading' started by BlueStreek, May 5, 2008.

  1. 50_Bip

    50_Bip

    Oil will continue higher and we will see $200 by this time next year. People don't have to buy that $1.2 mil home in San Francisco, AMZN at $400/shr, tulips at $900 bushel etc.. but they DO have to buy oil at WHATEVER THE COST.

    Inelastic demand
     
    #171     Jun 11, 2008
  2. Cheese

    Cheese

    No, demand is not inelastic. You have not yet had sufficient experience of the real world around you to know any different.

    However I might still agree that oil demand appears to be not very elastic so far, certainly at this stage. But three factors are at work. The high price of petrol (gas at the pump) is deterring demand. Alternatives to oil as a fuel or as a propulsion power are pushing forwards. More production of crude is being encouraged where the extraction cost is higher than elsewhere (ie oil from tar or oil sands).
    :)
     
    #172     Jun 11, 2008
  3. vikasd

    vikasd

    It is really not about demand but Supply. The supply is inelastic.
     
    #173     Jun 11, 2008
  4. Mup

    Mup

    As charted before it happened on the EW thread ..!!

    :D :D
     
    #174     Jun 11, 2008
  5. S2007S

    S2007S

    Anyone who is hoping and wishing and thinking about $200 oil should know that the economy will be in a deep, deep, deep recession by the time $200 oil gets here, unemployment rates will probably be nearing double digits and GDP will be NEGATIVE, if you think the economy is bad now, wait and see what $200+ oil does.
     
    #175     Jun 11, 2008
  6. #176     Jun 11, 2008
  7. Classic. 1% of your portfolio out of the window thanks to naivety and hubris.
     
    #177     Jun 12, 2008
  8. But you don't get it.
    He LOST money to a "bubble".

    He didn't lose it due to his lack of trading skills, or money management skills.

    In his mind, he has rationalized that this is acceptable, because you just never know about BUBBLES!!!

    Same thing with all of his "conspiracy" theories.
    He didn't LOSE any money because of his trading skills ( or lack thereof ).
    He lost money because the FED has manipulated EVERYTHING!!!

    Losing money in that way is "ok" in his book.

    :D
     
    #178     Jun 12, 2008
  9. good call.
     
    #179     Jul 7, 2008