Thirsty's options

Discussion in 'Options' started by thirst, Mar 15, 2006.

  1. thirst

    thirst

    I haven't had too much success in the past picking tops. Theres a good chance that the mm's continue to run it - I've witnessed first hand strong trending stocks continuing to run into expiry even though all reason and rationale said no way.

    Good luck with the trade though. I've got a messy one on my hads as it is. The charts look awesome, the sell off (consolidation) on TXN has been on lower than normal volume. If we can get some volume, theres a good chance that TXN should break to the upside. I am looking for 36.5-37 on the stock, and looking to exit half at 1.4, and perhaps watching it goto 2.

    I almost sound crazy for saying that, given the current bid is barely at .35
     
    #61     May 9, 2006
  2. Tough luck on the TXN calls. $.20 mid as we speak... perhaps we'll see some upside vol after the Fed raise, but you're obviously married to the position at this point. Good luck.
     
    #62     May 10, 2006
  3. novel20

    novel20

    Thirst, the TXN calls are at 0.15/0.20. Do you have a stop loss target or you are going to let it ride?
     
    #63     May 10, 2006
  4. thirst

    thirst

    This was a trade where I decided not to have any kind of a stop. So conceivably, I just lost 60% of my option gain for the year.
     
    #64     May 10, 2006
  5. You bought 2000 calls?

    Thats like 200,000 shares of txn?
     
    #65     May 10, 2006
  6. thirst

    thirst

    well..... I would love to say no....

    so let's just pretend i didn't.
     
    #66     May 10, 2006
  7. It's 14,000 share-equivalent right now, but that will rise to a max of 200,000 if TXN were to trade > $36.15. Current delta of 7.
     
    #67     May 10, 2006
  8. cnms2

    cnms2

    If you're still bullish on TXN for intermediate term, you could try to roll your May 35 calls into June 37.5 calls. They're quoted for .15/.20 too. On an upswing you may do it for no loss or better.

    Or you could stick to your original trading plan, if you considered the possibility of a pullback.
     
    #68     May 10, 2006
  9. thirst

    thirst

    yea, i was keeping an eye on that. I will make a move by Friday.

    And novel, this is why I didn't want to post my size at the beginning.

    But all is well, I will live to fight another day. Depending on it's action going into Friday, I may pony up the additional premium for the June 35's.
     
    #69     May 10, 2006
  10. thirst

    thirst

    These charts are a few days old now - but I thought I'd post them anyways.
     
    #70     May 10, 2006