Thinking of throwing in the towel

Discussion in 'Trading' started by nursebee, Apr 10, 2012.

  1. Anyone referencing the past for future guidance for investing IN THIS WORLD ECONOMY has got to be kidding, right ?
    Rational: the crisis that is still unfolding is without precedent....Gold, crude oil, european riots, no American jobs.....this is crazy stuff.

    Have you all gotten drunk from the Fed's cool-aide that's been spiked with phony money ?
    What happens when the punch bowl is taken away ?
    THE PARTY'S OVER.
     
    #61     Apr 15, 2012
  2. fk1028

    fk1028

    I think the party is over at the time you can click a mouse button sitting comfortably at home and make a trade.
     
    #62     Apr 15, 2012
  3. syrre

    syrre

    Learn ENGLISH, you need to learn ENGLISH, the key to success is learning ENGLISH!
     
    #63     Apr 15, 2012
  4. Thank you so much for correcting my paging error; it was 173 and not 172. My memory is less than perfect.

    Darvas preceded WJO'N by a few years. I was trading stocks at that time too.

    All three of us have one pagers for doing stocks. Mine is called PVT and has about five rules for using a RDBMS type object chart. The reference chart was tested on a sample of 400,000 and no changes were made. The long half cycle is about 4 to 8 days and the compoumding @ 10% gives parallel results to O'Neill and Darvas. Nothing has changed.

    basically the venue for making money trading stocks is the same for most. You keep a current Universe and you time the price break outs with a leading indicator of price. My lead is about 1 hours in the am on the day of the BO. The SEC provedits efficacy over the course of several years. All their citations to me were withdrawn as they learned they were misapplying a software "insider" detection system.

    When WJO'N offered his institutional trading service duringthe beta tresting, I was a person he took advice from. It was priced at 44K a year.

    Around 1970 and forward I had the full S&P brokerage services for my classes in the subburbs of Philadelphia (courtesy of the S&P Eastern regional manager). At that time I did monthly market assessment on the last Thursday of each month. I rotated through several brokerages and it was open to any firm. My affiliation with Wharton came later (before and after the Bicentenial).
     
    #64     Apr 15, 2012
  5. nkhoi

    nkhoi

    TC2000 now have a scan called volume buzz to detect unusual volume.
     
    #65     Apr 15, 2012
  6. Read Faber's book.

    Asset rotation and the principles are very similar to the JH stock method of rotating into the highest velocity money makers.
     
    #66     Apr 15, 2012
  7. Paddler

    Paddler

     
    #67     Apr 15, 2012
  8. Paddler

    Paddler

    Mebane Faber?
     
    #68     Apr 15, 2012
  9. That's the one. ROR is about 12-15% a year with max DD about 1/2 or 1/3 of max DD of SPY. You can do better if you use a better measurement of performance over simple % gain and employ leverage.

    Nothing like JH equities, but less monitoring and instructions can be sent sunday each evening.

    Fits into Jack's idea of employee daytrade/equity capital to higher timeframe where more liquidity can be found.

    I don't suppose most of us here have such liquidity issues, but if you do this is no doubt the place to go.
     
    #69     Apr 16, 2012
  10. Paddler

    Paddler

    Thank you.
     
    #70     Apr 17, 2012