Think and grow rich

Discussion in 'Psychology' started by Frederick Foresight, Jul 17, 2022.

  1. A 1:1 reward:risk ratio and a 50% success prediction rate is ...just... Gambling,
    That's why this....so-called system...doesn't work, or has failed you a couple years of losses,

    All you're doing is...just....gambling, in the market -- and equating the random, rare, wins as being skill and edge and understanding,

    I don't want to brag, or think too highly of myself, but I think I have the true Holy Grail trade process....if my reward/risk ratio is 3:1 and my success prediction rate is 70%,
     
    Last edited: Jul 19, 2022
    #61     Jul 19, 2022
  2. Millionaire

    Millionaire

    I dont algo trade 1:1, back testing shows me it is not very profitable. Because you cant get the win rate high enough to make it worthwhile. Unless you curve fit. Which wont work in reality.
     
    Last edited: Jul 19, 2022
    #62     Jul 19, 2022
  3. Hello Millionaire,

    Well, all my back testing shows 1:1 algos make no money.

    Perhaps my trading ideas have no edge for 1:1.

    I personally have never seen 3:1 with 70% win ratio algo backtest, more like 30% win ratio.
     
    #63     Jul 19, 2022
    Millionaire likes this.
  4. Overnight

    Overnight

    Actually, yours did, but barely. You made 12K per year back during the algo run up until 2020.

    53% win rate is basically 1:1

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/think-and-grow-rich.368474/page-3#post-5637965
     
    #64     Jul 19, 2022
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  5. Hello Overnight,

    Yes, it did right. lol, That is a clean ass algo right there.

    Yes, with algo testing, ANYTHING is possible. Currently working on a scalper to scale up to X - XXX contracts very quickly and get rich.

    If you can not scale up, then you fucking up.
     
    #65     Jul 19, 2022
  6. Overnight

    Overnight

    Except, it cannot scale up if it cannot also scale down. Algos work great on a backtest. But they never work on a forward test, until you "Just Do It"™
     
    #66     Jul 19, 2022
    SimpleMeLike likes this.
  7. Hello Overnight,

    Please explain what you mean by ""Just Do It" ?

    Thanks
     
    #67     Jul 20, 2022
  8. Overnight

    Overnight

    It means put on some Nikes.
     
    #68     Jul 20, 2022
  9. Millionaire

    Millionaire

    I thought you meant this old video:

     
    #69     Jul 20, 2022
  10. Overnight

    Overnight

    Nope, that's why I put the little ™ after the Just Do It thing. It meant to put on the Nikes, and run. Do it! FORWARD TEST IT WITH REAL MONEY! DO IT!
     
    #70     Jul 20, 2022
    SimpleMeLike likes this.