You know 90 to 95% of the posters >>>>?? I was sort of kidding before and not trying to be offensive but now thats down right silly 90-95%. I am not trying to be offensive I just dont know why people cant have a serious discourse on the internet with out bragging and insulting and making stuff up to support their opinions which they believe are facts. If one does not agree with someone else's opinion thats fine, it does not mean you immediately ostracize them and call them names. No one here and I mean NO ONE really knows whats going to be done Tuesday afternoon we're all speculating. Some of us have more experience then others but thats no guarantee of anything... just my 2 cents you can bash me now Oh and with commodity prices so high and the dollar weakness there is the spector of inflation and I am talking real inflation. Look at what a gallon of milk costs or a loaf of bread and a bushel of wheat ... a glut of liquidity got us where we are today, there is room for NO rate cut, we'll have to wait and see. Now I am sure you'll really start the flaming
Flame, flame, flame, lol. See I gotya. Hey, I thought 3 months ago the Fed would be tightening right about now, so you're preaching to the choir. Inflation is present but I'll bet this, if the policy statement hints no mas, we'll see commodity profit taking and a dollar bid that'll possibly mark a tradable low. I think inflation is being caused somewhat by dollar weakness but mostly by the simultaneous growth of India, Brazil and China. It's a bigger, newer world. That said I also think the U.S. is slowing. It'll sure be interesting looking ahead.
Bulls will be disappointed on Tuesday at 2:15pm when they find out that there will be NO 50 basis point rate cut....
Um humn but a 25 basis point cut will be good news and while the market may dip it will surge to 52 week highs afterwards werd
I'm thinking the exact opposite. There will be an initial bounce, followed by a sell-off once the news is finally out.
SP500 up 4.2% YTD, Russel2000 down 1% YTD. Hardly a soaring market. SP500 was up 15% in the fall of 1998 when the Fed cut over LTCM. See any pattern? There is none. You and S270027 live in your own little fantasy world thinking that the FED looks at the SP500 and cuts when we drop 10% and won't or can't cut if we're up 10%.
Probably.... but this market sure seems to have a short memory. Not sure what is being "priced in" right now... Lots and Lots of bulls out there.
Are you kidding me, as soon as the market started to fall extremely hard every talking head was crying for a rate cut. CEOS from how many companies were saying the federal reserve has to act now and start to drop rates to keep liquidity from drying up. Without liquidity this market is nothing and the only way to keep liquidity from drying up is lower the rates, thats all they care about, they dont care that the dollar is falling or that inflation is out of control with commodity prices soaring. As soon as liquidity started to dry up what happened to the stock market??? HMMMMMMMMMMMMMM