Two weeks ago, it was about an 80 implied - today, it's about a five. I wouldn't place a lot of store in the actual number, on a very short-term basis. If you knew nothing else the absolute number can be interpreted a dozen different ways. Some people will claim the biggest market moves - things like the 87 and 89 sell-offs come off of volatility lows. There is just too much going on to give great meaning to the lower volatility.
Reduced volatility is another phase in a common bear market, nothing special so far. It is very often in a bear market that there is a an extended quiet period before it can raise again. There is also much less noise from initial vola at the beginning of a bear market. So BTC transferred to a different state or phase in the bear market.
Bitcoin has been doing this for years. It coils up before a big move. This sideways action has happened multiple times before.
I don't know, but would someone please tell the CME Group ? They still have outrageous margin requirements for BTC and MBT.
Why? The thing is priced at $20K, and the BTC futures contract is for 5 BTC. Why don't you go and try to trade some BRK.A on margin. Will you complain that is too much as well? Know the details of what you are trading with leverage before complaining.
The vol is originating from the rates market. Bitcoin/crypto is relatively much smaller, so it will be affected, but not nearly as much as larger and more liquid markets - equity derivatives, FX, and corporate debt, etc. Can't hedge trillions in risk with bitcoin when it's orders of magnitude smaller.
I like the positivity and i am a Bitcoin bull but it is uncertain in the short term with the crazyness that is happening in the world right now