it's currently near 8% in NY. Obviously there's testing bias ATM so we won't know until a randomized study is done (if ever)
That is the complete problem -- more testing is needed to properly define the exact number/percentage of cases that have not been detected by current testing. This can be due to people with mild cases never informing anyone or other reasons. Antibody tests will be needed for people who have recovered and COVID tests for those still actively infected. The estimates for the percentage of undetected infections range from 15% above the known cases to 20 times the known cases. It varies by how rigorous the existing testing regime is (for example the percentage may only be 15% in Germany & South Korea while 20x may be appropriate in 3rd world countries). The bottom line is that only more testing will clear up two questions: The actual mortality rate. and the percentage of the population that has been infected.
Do you have a thought on this or just posting more random shit? Immunity passports are a dumb idea and more bad policy. I am not really sure why anyone would listen to what The Who had to say about a disease anyway. When is the last time they released an album?
3% of the global population is 228 million people. There are only 2.55 million confirmed COVID-19 cases. So if these numbers are correct, the actual fatality rate is drastically lower than currently thought. It's scary to think that 97% of the population is still at risk though. I really don't want to go through this again later this year.
Seeing that the data numbers were only taken from hotspot cities in countries that have done testing.... as health experts have noted it is very unreasonable to project this 2%-3% number across the entire globe.
that is the problem with thinking the lock down of low risk groups is a good thing. If we don't create a cure or a therapy... it may only delay the inevitable without much benefit.