The Vulcan Report - Documenting the Economic Collapse of the entire global system.

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Vulcan Trader, Mar 23, 2010.

  1. 8/10/2011 - MID DAY MARKET ANALYSIS


    MR MARKET IS HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME GETTING OUT OF BED. HE HAS A HANGOVER FROM YESTERDAYS RALLY PARTY.


    IF YOU WERE TO BASE TODAYS ACTION FROM YESTERDAYS ACTION ONE COULD MAKE AN ARGUMENT THAT THE PAST 2 DAYS WE HAVE HIGHER HIGHS AND LOWER LOWS. HOWEVER "A ONE DAY RALLY DOES NOT A TREND MAKE". THE TRUTH IS THAT THE BAR FROM 3 DAYS AGO IS OUR TRUE RESISTANCE. YESTERDAYS BAR IS OUR TRUE SUPPORT. SO UNTIL WE TAKE OUT THE HIGH FROM 2 DAYS AGO OR TAKE OUT YESTERDAYS LOWS WE ARE HAVING NOTHING MORE THAN AN INSIDE DAY. BASICALLY WE ARE PATIENTLY AWAITING A BREAKOUT. IF NOT TODAY THEN THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY THAT IT WILL HAPPEN WITHIN THE NEXT 2 DAYS. EITHER UP OR DOWN BUT WE WILL HAVE A BREAKOUT! RIGHT NOW ITS LOOKING LIKE THE CONSENSUS IS ON THE DOWNSIDE. THE TREND IS STILL BEARISH. WE STILL HAVE DOWNSIDE MOMENTUM. WE ARE STILL TRADING BELOW THE LONG TERM MOVING AVERAGE. EUROPE IS ON FIRE. USA IS INSOLVENT. BOFA IS INSOLVENT. HECK WE ARE ALL INSOLVENT.
     
    #211     Aug 10, 2011
  2. MASSIVE SELLING INTO THE CLOSE AS EXPECTED. STILL HOLDING SHORTS.
     
    #212     Aug 10, 2011
  3. GOOD POINT.
     
    #213     Aug 10, 2011
  4. International trade data for June and initial jobless claims will be released at 8:30 AM ET. Consensus is for an international trade gap of $48 billion, and a rise in claims to 405K.

    MARKET IS MOVING AHEAD OF REPORT TO THE DOWNSIDE.
     
    #214     Aug 11, 2011
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    #215     Aug 15, 2011
  6. 8/15/2011 - QQQ - POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST SRS 1 ETF

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of $1$ QQQ - POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST SRS 1 ETF (QQQ.O)
    as of Friday, August 12, 2011


    Today's Price Action


    Change 0.4700 (0.89%) prices closed higher than they opened. with strong Bids going into the close.


    A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.


    MARKET SENTIMENT

    PulseScan Swing Vix


    PulseScan: -27.81
    Swing Vix: -29.50


    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of 1 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.


    *The last signal was a Over-Sold Buy 3 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.

    *Since the last Swing Vix signal, $1$ QQQ - POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST SRS 1 ETF's price has increased 0.89% , and has ranged from a high of 53.90 to a low of 51.34.


    MOMENTUM


    MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is - The UpTrend is still entact with prices holding above trendline support at- 51.40.


    TREND STRENGTH - ,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM


    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 51.40


    The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 54.09


    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE 53.95 - GO LONG here 54.47 place stoploss here 52.43


    SUPPORT 52.83 - GO SHORT here 52.43 - place stoploss here 54.47


    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 60.23-


    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 56.07-


    MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 51.40
    Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 42.97
    BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET = 26.11


    VOLATILITY
    On 8/12/2011, $1$ QQQ - POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST SRS 1 ETF closed
    above the lower band by 25.9%.
    This combined with the steep downtrend suggests that the downward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing. However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.
     
    #216     Aug 15, 2011
  7. STILL HOLDING LONGS FROM 2190.75 IN THE EMINI NASDAQ. STOP MOVED TO 2191.75. WILL LOOK TO ADD TO POSITION @2207.25
     
    #217     Aug 15, 2011
  8. STILL HOLDING LONGS. HAVING SOME TROUBLE WITH BROKER PLATFORM THIS MORNING. CANT PLACE TRADES. WILL CALL TRADE DESK.
     
    #218     Aug 15, 2011
  9. 8/15/2011 - DIA - DOW JONES ETF

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of $1$ DIA - DOW JONES ETF (DIA)
    as of Friday, August 12, 2011


    Today's Price Action


    Change 1.5500 (1.39%) prices closed higher than they opened. with strong Bids going into the close.


    A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.


    MARKET SENTIMENT

    PulseScan Swing Vix


    PulseScan: -30.45
    Swing Vix: -32.01


    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of 1 period(s) ago.
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.


    *The last signal was a Over-Sold Buy 3 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.

    *Since the last Swing Vix signal, $1$ DIA - DOW JONES ETF's price has increased 1.39% , and has ranged from a high of 113.49 to a low of 107.83.


    MOMENTUM


    MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is VERY-BEARISH - Heavy Distribution.


    TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term bottom. This means that the bears are liquidating short positions thus taking some profit off the table.,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM


    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Below it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 114.00


    The close is currently Below it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 117.07


    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE 113.59 - GO LONG here 114.53 place stoploss here 110.71


    SUPPORT 111.48 - -


    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 128.26-


    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 122.15-


    MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 114.00
    Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 99.37
    BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET = 70.11


    VOLATILITY
    On 8/12/2011, $1$ DIA - DOW JONES ETF closed
    above the lower band by 24.8%.
    This combined with the steep downtrend suggests that the downward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing. However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.
     
    #219     Aug 15, 2011
  10. 8/15/2011 - QQQ - POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST SRS 1 ETF

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of $1$ QQQ - POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST SRS 1 ETF (QQQ.O)
    as of Friday, August 12, 2011


    Today's Price Action


    Change 0.4700 (0.89%) prices closed higher than they opened. with strong Bids going into the close.


    A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.


    MARKET SENTIMENT

    PulseScan Swing Vix


    PulseScan: -27.81
    Swing Vix: -29.50


    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of 1 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.


    *The last signal was a Over-Sold Buy 3 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.

    *Since the last Swing Vix signal, $1$ QQQ - POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST SRS 1 ETF's price has increased 0.89% , and has ranged from a high of 53.90 to a low of 51.34.


    MOMENTUM


    MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is - The UpTrend is still entact with prices holding above trendline support at- 51.40.


    TREND STRENGTH - ,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM


    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 51.40


    The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 54.09


    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE 53.95 - GO LONG here 54.47 place stoploss here 52.43


    SUPPORT 52.83 - GO SHORT here 52.43 - place stoploss here 54.47


    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 60.23-


    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 56.07-


    MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 51.40
    Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 42.97
    BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET = 26.11


    VOLATILITY
    On 8/12/2011, $1$ QQQ - POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST SRS 1 ETF closed
    above the lower band by 25.9%.
    This combined with the steep downtrend suggests that the downward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing. However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.
     
    #220     Aug 15, 2011