they both try to neutralize eachother's efforts in the ME Not completely true, see the efforts by both in Afghanistan. Other than that, I agree with what your saying completely. But, the fact of the matter is things are getting serious in Iran rather quickly. I don't think its unreasonable to at least mentally prepare for that situation. Do I think its a slam dunk? no. The way I look at it, Iran's government is at a line of support. I'm on the sidelines about this until it breaks one way or another. However, there are ways to profit from the frenzied reporting from Iran, especially as countries like the United States, France, and Germany, and Russia start officially addressing the issue
oh and let's not forget russia and china are brains behind the iranian government, even if the regime is unable to pull itself together on its own, they're not gonna let their proxy fall into pieces and into US hands just like that, i'm sure they'll even go to the extent of hiring militia from afganistan, pakistan and such just to have them come to iran and murder some of the protesters and I'm not sides with the iranian people, I don't even feel sorry for them, even though the iranian government is an asshole, I'm pretty sure the people are no better, just like how the american people being raped by the banks actually deserve it
I think that may be partially true, but I'm not convinced on China. China is willing to play ball with Iran up to a point. They like the idea of a powerful stable government with a large sphere of influence in the middle of east that likes to butt heads with the US. However I don't think they like the idea of Iran being in complete disarray, especially if it is armed with nuclear weapons. I think China is willing to cut and run with tis support for any given regime pretty quickly if it is seen as a beneficial move. Oh and China doesn't want us getting in to another conflict, they want us to pay them back for the one in Iraq first.
Of course there is an online website where you can "bet" on that. I believe it is legal if you give the proceeds to charity. http://www.intrade.com/
LOL. Yeah o.k. If you haven't noticed a difference between algo's from even 2008 to 2009, then you must be a long term position trader. Algo's ARE THE MARKET now, and they're frontrunning every order you send.