The Trouble With Scribbles

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Buy1Sell2, Mar 30, 2015.

  1. romik

    romik

    He tends to do well in trending markets, right now nobody knows for sure whether there will be a continuation or or trend change. I am not worried about B1.
     
    #881     Apr 29, 2015
    Buy1Sell2 likes this.
  2. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    I'm not worried about him either. And maybe he does do well in trending markets (which we've been in going on seven years). But that's not the point.

    No plan.

    No rules.

    No sense of direction.

    No risk management.

    No trade management.

    Losses that would be debilitating to a beginner (assuming he's trading at least 10 contracts, a 60pt loss is a nice chunk of change).

    So where's the superiority of the "grail system" over the SLA, which took advantage of all those trends and counter-trends that the "grail system" ignored?
     
    #882     Apr 29, 2015
  3. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Here is the 15 min NQ chart analysis from today. Just one trade identified by system today and not a big winner.

    upload_2015-4-29_21-57-31.png
     
    #883     Apr 29, 2015
  4. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Here is the analysis of the 5 min chart. As you can see, when I posted that I had a made a countertrend trade against the 5 and the 15, that indeed the trend was up. This is why you don't trade against the trend. Trend had reversed with the RSI grail shown at the oversold level. The system misses some activity especially the late afternoon sell off. The activity could have been caught on the 1 min chart. Best time frames to keep open when daytrading are the 1, 5, 15 and 60. Need to keep all open to see agreement etc.
    upload_2015-4-29_22-29-41.png
     
    #884     Apr 29, 2015
  5. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    As of this moment, the scribble method has neither made, nor lost any money as no trades have been placed.
     
    #885     Apr 29, 2015
    Michael.jstocks likes this.
  6. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Thanks--and there would be no reason to be worried--I appreciate the support--Izzy
     
    #886     Apr 29, 2015
  7. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    If one knows the rules, there's no need to announce the trades. If one doesn't understand the rules, there would be no point in doing so. Hindsight charts have been posted, of course, along with the hindsight charts provided by the OP, such as those above. The difference is that the SLA trades are determined by rules; the "grail" trades are determined by who-knows-what.

    And it's well to remember that since the OP has at least me on Ignore, he has no way of knowing what's been posted and what hasn't. And since he hasn't read the material and thus has no idea what the SLA rules are . . .

    Anyone who wants to believe that the "grail" system is superior to the SLA is welcome to do so. Makes no difference to me. It's not my money. And if one can in reality tolerate the drawdowns, why not? But those who are tempted should understand that a rules-based system need not suffer any drawdowns at all. That the "grail" system does so indicates the complete lack of any sort of trading plan beyond Guess&Hope. As for "scribbles", what better example of scribbles than the indicators of which the OP is so fond. But at least they enable him to make notations regarding what he would have done, or claims to have done, long before the chart is ever posted.

    Not impressed. But at least he's stopped pulling the posts and charts of those who are -- or at least were, before his trolling -- trying to learn the SLA out of their journals and reposting them here for the sole purpose of ridiculing them. That's progress of a sort (I'll assume that he was "encouraged" to stop this pre-school practice).
     
    Last edited: Apr 30, 2015
    #887     Apr 30, 2015
  8. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Romy MACD Bullish signal on 5 min chart. Doesn't agree with 15 and 60 so stop must be kept close
     
    #888     Apr 30, 2015
  9. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    As you can see, it's always best to have multiple time frames agree. This was picture perfect for that point today.
     
    #889     Apr 30, 2015
  10. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    --04/29/2015Current position is short from 4484.75. protective (not reverse) stop is 4524.00.
    --04/30/2015. Afterhours pm. Stop remains the same
     
    #890     Apr 30, 2015