The Trouble With Scribbles

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Buy1Sell2, Mar 30, 2015.

  1. k p

    k p

    Great Photoshop skills Db! This isn't a jab at all.... I'm simply recognizing you for your ability to take my chart and cleanly remove some of my lines so you can show what you wanted to show.

    This also of course means that I'm not on ignore after all, or else you would have never seen my chart. :D

    I for one would love to see an example of these ranges being traded. You see, I haven't been able to develop an entry/exit criteria that works well enough that allows me to just trade a range on auto pilot. Wait too long to enter, now your stop is too big. Enter too soon, and you've got too many scratched trades. In your example, there are also so many little ranges, and if you extend the extremes of these ranges forward (the upper and lower levels), you essentially have a sheet of graph paper with lines everywhere. So first being able to find ranges is key. Then being able to figure out which ones are important/tradeable. Then you gotta know how to enter, when to exit, when to SAR, when to re-enter, and well, this gets pretty complicated quickly.

    You only ever talk about the good trades, but it seems to me that many more trades set up that fail which you don't mention and this could be part of the reason why much of what you show seems hindsight in nature. I suspect that if you are actually trading like this, your years of experience guides you to skipping many range breakouts, but then this, in my opinion, comes to intuition and screen time and not just simple rules of saying you buy a BO up, or sell a breakdown out of the range. This would lead to many trades.
     
    #1011     May 5, 2015
  2. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Profits should definitely be taken here if short on the 15.
     
    #1012     May 5, 2015
  3. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    If trading a longer frame one can stay short as I am doing.
     
    #1013     May 5, 2015
  4. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    When did this happen?
     
    #1014     May 5, 2015
  5. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    --04/29/2015Current position is short from 4484.75. protective (not reverse) stop is 4524.00
    . --04/30/2015. Afterhours pm. Stop remains the same
    --05/05/15 late RTH Price is 4412.00 Stop lowered to 4469.00
     
    #1015     May 5, 2015
  6. Why no buy at these 3 divergences?

    upload_2015-5-5_16-41-32.png
     
    #1016     May 5, 2015
    Marvin Zark and dbphoenix like this.
  7. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    If you're still short, how did you go long?

    Curiouser and curiouser.
     
    #1017     May 5, 2015
  8. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Thank you for the question bavarian. It's a good one and that is why I posted 3 charts of the Pauk trade so one can see the rsi, macd and bollinger bands at that time frame. You should be able too see why the other divergences didn't work. In addition I posted the 60 min chart of that time which showed strong downtrend, so you would really need the best signal to do a countertrend trade. Pauk described this trade and I analyzed it. By the way, this trade was only good for a few points as it was countertrend and all 3 time frames did not agree.
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2015
    #1018     May 5, 2015
  9. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    From 0504

    0505, morning

    I'm looking forward to the answer to this one.

    Do I detect shenanigans?
     
    Last edited: May 5, 2015
    #1019     May 5, 2015
  10. Ok, Here is BB chart. Same question. Same BS.......... Why not here, here or here? You have BB and RSI in agreement? Maybe 5 hits on the BB is the magic???????

    upload_2015-5-5_17-22-58.png
     
    #1020     May 5, 2015
    Marvin Zark and dbphoenix like this.