The TREND is your friend.. The biggest lie ever!

Discussion in 'Trading' started by MarketAddict, Oct 28, 2015.

  1. Newc2

    Newc2

    You avoid the chop by not trading in the chop.
    Where is the chop? Well for that you need to know how to identify a trend.
     
    #361     Sep 25, 2016
    murray t turtle likes this.
  2. No! you identify chop ,then go in once it is out of the way , because that is where most traders get killed.since at any time prices in the future are not known , nobody knows when the chop will happen ,even in counter trend , market reverse fast.

    A trend can only be determined in hindsight, since at any time prices in the future are not known. A trend is realized only in hindsight because while it is formed every point on it can potentially mark a top.
     
    #362     Sep 25, 2016
  3. Newc2

    Newc2

    You miss the ENTIRE premise of profitable trading.
    Trading a PROPERLY identified trend puts odds in your favour. If it reverses, your stop loss takes you out. End of story. Anybody who cannot understand this should not be in the market.

    We can converse further should you move past this point.
     
    #363     Sep 25, 2016

  4. I agree with you .

    What are the probabilities of
    1)continuation
    2)breakdown
    3)reversal
    4)end of trend at time of entry
     
    #364     Sep 25, 2016
    murray t turtle likes this.
  5. Chop??
    A trend that cannot be read, or is misread, due to a lack of ability, is what the trader calls......'Chop'.
    The above charts are no more chop than they are chop suey! If that can't be seen, back to TA 101.
     
    #365     Sep 25, 2016
  6. Newc2

    Newc2

    The answer to all 4 is "a greater probability of trend continuing than not". It wouldn't be a trend if this wasn't the case.

    Why does this happen?
    Answer is supply and demand imbalance.
     
    #366     Sep 25, 2016
    murray t turtle likes this.
  7. [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
    #367     Sep 25, 2016
  8. Newc2

    Newc2

    'chop' is a nothing more than trading range.
    Trading range = chop
    Outside of trading range = trend.
    It is really that simple.
     
    #368     Sep 25, 2016
  9. so you need fundamental drivers and supply /demand imbalance , to confirm a potential move.

    Example :MARKET RUNNING FROM BONDS AND LOOKING FOR OTHER PLACES TO INVEST

    http://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/31/bill...yellen-have-mastered-market-manipulation.html
     
    #369     Sep 25, 2016
  10. birdman

    birdman

    Is that plan good for any time frame chart, say 3 minute and 1 minute both?
     
    #370     May 25, 2018