the trend is up, market has bottomed.

Discussion in 'Trading' started by lundy, Jun 21, 2002.

  1. lundy

    lundy

    when we get a new weekly high, possibly monday, it will be a confirmation for the rally.

    time for an elliot wave. :p


    ps. theres also a very important divergence between the NDX and the INDU. I'm not sure what it means yet, but it could be the start of a new bull market. :eek:

    let the flaming begin. :D
     
    #561     Jul 6, 2002
  2. Rigel

    Rigel

    Let the flames begin.:p
     
    #562     Jul 6, 2002
  3. gnome

    gnome

    Though I'm fundamentally VERY bearish, this week's lows should be played as an intermediate bottom:
    a. Several indices held major neckline support
    b. "2 Weekly doji at big support" is compelling
    c. My proprietary Cum Vol RSI gives BUY signal (hard to fake out)
    If the lows of this week are retested, I'd load the boat (with stop, of course). Advise caution with short tries.:D
     
    #563     Jul 6, 2002
  4. <a href="http://money.msn.com/content/p24708.asp">Source.</a>


    Late last week, I felt myself, in a flash, getting bearish. It seemed like the same mood of 'this market is really doomed' that was influencing others came to influence me, too.

    And I sensed that I should be careful on my shorts and look for an opportunity to fade that 'flash.' In that place, at that time, it seemed wise.

    This put me on my guard and helped me remain circumspect and nimble.
     
    #564     Jul 6, 2002
  5. BillyG67

    BillyG67

    Im looking at a counter trend rally (summer rally) and sucking some more blood in then a hard bottom
     
    #565     Jul 6, 2002
  6. lundy

    lundy

    there will be a MINIMUM of 80 market days before the trend turns back down.

    fade that.
     
    #566     Jul 6, 2002
  7. wild

    wild

  8. gnome

    gnome

    Intuitively, sounds right. And, might I add, one of the more intelligent posts to this thread.

    What tool(s) do you use to measure "relative volatility"?
    Tks,
    gnome
     
    #568     Jul 7, 2002
  9. nkhoi

    nkhoi

    deja vu, check this out

     
    #569     Jul 7, 2002
  10. I simply compare the percentage movements up or down. The S&P generally moves about 40% of the NASDAQs daily volitility. Yet at the bottom they were about par which is quite rare.

    Runningbear
     
    #570     Jul 7, 2002