the trend is up, market has bottomed.

Discussion in 'Trading' started by lundy, Jun 21, 2002.

  1. rs7

    rs7

    they are magic numbers...the universe vibrates to their frequency...blah, blah, blah!:confused:
    Put them on a spreadsheet and burn up your processor:)
     
    #331     Jun 26, 2002
  2. So what does this tell us about technical analysis? Has it failed yet this time? The bullish engulfing pattern on the nasdaq daily has been violated but the low of Oct 98' has not been. What IS the prevailing technical viewpoint anyway? Do trends and moving averages override support and oversold extremes? Obviously Lundy believes we've bottomed. Others will point to their Bollinger bands and trendlines and say we're going down. Some use their tools to predict, others to confirm. But when one confirms a trend, it still is to predict the future, however short term that is. Inertia confirmed, predicts.

    And how does one choose which indicators to look at? Can we really be unbiased with our technical analysis or do we just use it to confirm our pet theory?

    Sorry for the ramble but I feel that this is a time when tech analysis really comes to the forefront and I, like most of us I'm sure, question just how much credence to give it.

    ***********************************************

    "Chaos is found in greatest abundance wherever order is being sought. It always defeats order, because it is better
    organized."
    - Terry Pratchett, Interesting Times
     
    #332     Jun 26, 2002
  3. Not impatient...just impatiently curious. ;]

    Haven't seen before. 61.8 and 38.2 is what I see used virtually all the time.

    Otherwise, if you take the square, why not take it again, and again, and again. Then you can arrive at virtually any retracement level you want to suit your purpose.

    Anyways...
     
    #333     Jun 26, 2002
  4. Cesko

    Cesko

    Mantra of CME trading floor- Have no opinion
     
    #334     Jun 26, 2002
  5. lundy

    lundy

    it's quite possible to predict something.
     
    #335     Jun 26, 2002
  6. rs7

    rs7

    it ain't just there....
     
    #336     Jun 26, 2002
  7. i know what they are. i'm saying the practical use of them in trading is probably no more reliable than any other common indicator..
     
    #337     Jun 26, 2002
  8. only indicators I use are my stop loss....period...when that is near being violated im out.....
     
    #338     Jun 26, 2002
  9. rs7

    rs7

    EXACTLY!!!!!
    BTW...saw your movie on Bravo again last night...still holds up as a classic!!
     
    #339     Jun 26, 2002
  10. lundy

    lundy

    I'm saying that in order to practically apply them for trading, you must use the correct application.
     
    #340     Jun 26, 2002