The Surf Report--part 2

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by marketsurfer, Mar 2, 2011.

  1. That's funny closers are all I have ever bet in the derby. Closest I came to a HUGE payday was I had Real Quiet, Victory Gallop and Hallory Hunter in a tri box, and Indian Charlie nosed me out for third. Agh.

    I'm not surprised to hear about the meadowlands. I goto Jets games there and the "xanadu" structure has really stamped that whole area as failure. New stadium sucks as well. What were the these people thinking? It's a shame.
     
    #501     Apr 19, 2011
  2. EPrado

    EPrado

    Did they ever finish that Xanadu complex? Last I heard it wasn't even close to fully occupied by stores. What a disaster. Not for anything, but with all the malls and shopping areas in Northern NJ why in hell did they build that thing? The whole Meadowlands is a mess. Byrne Arena is no longer used.....Race track is going south....all they have left is the stadium, and from what my friends who have Jets/Giants tix say....the place is horrible.
     
    #502     Apr 19, 2011
  3. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Told ya....

    Market is 7.5 pts up for the day. If you don't know what Tuesday means, ask the boys in the ES Journal.

    Is there a stop loss on this one? My pattern predicts 1390 in the next 3-4 weeks...
     
    #503     Apr 19, 2011
  4. Turn around Tuesday? I'm not worried, yet.
     
    #504     Apr 19, 2011
  5. volente_00

    volente_00



    Ask Vic about it :)



    I know you are not a fan of TA surf but the IHS on the monthly does not bode well for your short position.
     
    #505     Apr 19, 2011
  6. At gap fill, there will likely be pullback because it is a test of the year high range. Reaction to first test is normal.

    Macro driver on US stock market does not include earning outlook for many years already if you are talking about index components. As long as USD tanks, or stays at the current level, where the US bonds are pinned at abnormal price, US stock market will keep going up, or drift up.

    If US Bond collapses, so will the stock market, and the world financial system. That implies you will not be able to collect your windfall profit when you are right with your macro view.

    Something to think about.
     
    #506     Apr 19, 2011
  7. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    That's good, although I probably would if my journal after 6 weeks was still in the red.
    The thing is that your results look more like random luck or missfortune, there is no consistency whatsoever. I understand you are trying to catch a giant wave, but remember:

    5 x 10 = 1 x 50

    If the market doesn't give you a 50, take 5 times 10....
     
    #507     Apr 19, 2011
  8. EPrado

    EPrado


    Surf is trying to catch a giant wave with the vix at 15.83. Good luck with that. There are times to go for big moves and giant waves (summer/fall of 2008.....the few days during Japan recently)...now is not one of them. Surf isn't adapting to current mkt conditions, something a good trader will always do.

    He is fishing for a huge fish in a lake full of minnows.
     
    #508     Apr 19, 2011
  9. Whoa, I was completely wrong on the direction of the SP move. Closed out shorts , gone flat and going back to sleep. Remaining short gold for now.

    Surf :(
     
    #509     Apr 20, 2011
  10. Closed gold shorts with loss. Flat across the board.


    Surf. :(
     
    #510     Apr 20, 2011