The Surf Report--part 2

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by marketsurfer, Mar 2, 2011.

  1. Going to hold GOLD short over the weekend. The research, info and system indicates that selling is about to commence. Of course, nothing is 100% but confidence/odds is high on a sell off. Enjoy! Surf
     
    #461     Apr 15, 2011
  2. You have a point my jockey friend. However, with proper position sizing-- a disaster is highly unlikely. Have a great weekend!
     
    #462     Apr 15, 2011
  3. EPrado

    EPrado


    I guess I have seen too many guys taken out on stretchers adding to losing positions.

    Have a great weekend as well.............
     
    #463     Apr 15, 2011
  4. #464     Apr 16, 2011

  5. Thanks. Exactly, without ironclad risk control and position limits it can be disastrous.
     
    #465     Apr 16, 2011
  6. One way to think about adding to a trade that has moved against the original position is as follows:

    -Each entry is essentially a different sub-system. If each entry level tests out as a viable strategy component independent of the others, there is no inherent reason not to take additional entries. In this framework it is not correct to simply call it, "adding to a loser".


    -The risk comes because exposure is being increased while equity is decreasing. This can be managed by trading with a conservative amount of leverage and other methods, and having additional exit criteria to get away from bad trades. I think many people get queazy when they see this being done because they think of "doubling up" to "make it back" which has put many traders out of business. The point is this is not necessarily the mindset or approach that is being used.

    Managing equity exposure to forward expectation is always a balancing act. Whatever means one has to increase exposure when expectation is highest, will likely lead to better results, so long as total risk is monitored and a back up plan to preserve capital exists (And that backup plan does not mitigate or offset the use of increased exposure when it is necessary.)
     
    #466     Apr 16, 2011
  7. Gold and silver are the only things not getting crushed in this market. Bad call on gold surf.
     
    #467     Apr 18, 2011
  8. Surf alert


    Rumor has it that us getting downgraded. Short. ES at 1299

    Surf
     
    #468     Apr 18, 2011
  9. Just wait. It's going to follow equities lower....

    Surf
     
    #469     Apr 18, 2011
  10. EPrado

    EPrado

    Surf selling into a sell off. You are a trend follower. LOL.


    Hope the SP's close at 1250 for ya.....
     
    #470     Apr 18, 2011