The Surf Report--part 2

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by marketsurfer, Mar 2, 2011.

  1. Samsara

    Samsara

    Good point. Not many have even questioned whether or not this whole thing has been a joke. What draws people to even read this garbage in the first place? Myself included. Some schadenfreude quality. Mostly boredom.
     
    #1391     Jul 26, 2011
  2. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    This is called Supertilt....

    Anyhow, just to be contrarian and to give you nightmares, what we had here on the daily chart is a nice doubletop and falling. This is also a possible dragon reversal and putting in a 3rd, much higher top. The area to watch is around the SMA 9 line on the cash, somewhere around 1325.

    Since the Height is 60 pts, IF the Failure does happen around 1325 and the market reverses up (this nicely fits a sudden agreement on the debt ceiling raise) then the 3rd top target would be 1325+60= 1385ish...

    So we just have to wait and see that area. Since we are close to it already, tomorrow could be a narrow range "waiting for the government" day, then Thursday when they reach an agreement a giant rally and keep going up for the next few days.

    Again, assuming there is a dragon Failure...

    Visualization:

    [​IMG]
     
    #1392     Jul 26, 2011
  3. EPrado

    EPrado

    Funny how you like Altucher. Another guy who can write all day about how to trade, but can't trade himself.


    As far as the people that don't mitigate risk? They are the ones who have long and very successful careers. They do better than just "living".

    Ones who don't pay attention to risk, some are scratch traders at best, but most lose everything.

    It's hilarious how you talk about the ones who control risk and how they are inferior. Yet you have been on here the last week or so on "tilt" talking about this is the trade which either ends your career, or keeps you breathing until the next blow up situation.

    I try defending you on here.....but you really make it an impossible task.
     
    #1393     Jul 26, 2011
  4. EPrado

    EPrado

    As a person, Surf's cool in my book. He's a good guy. That's why I post on his thread. There are some good conversations, and some funny entertaining things.

    But as a trader he is a disaster at times. I really did think he was a retail trader with a real account. But this latest episode blew that theory out of the water. He had me fooled.

    I guess his real objective is not making money (ergo....not trading real money), but to stir up shit and get people to post here. Funny how he made this "trade" as the market was dead and his thread was sleeping.

    Oh well....it was fun while it lasted.
     
    #1394     Jul 26, 2011
  5. with 30 contracts there is probably a stop in place. i am just guessing here. one really never knows with Surf.
     
    #1395     Jul 26, 2011

  6. Thanks, Pekelo. There is not going to be a rally regardless of what happens.

    You can wait all you wish, that's the difference between you and I, I act instead of waiting.

    victory is on the horizon!

    surf
     
    #1396     Jul 26, 2011

  7. there is a margin stop in place, otherwise nothing from me.

    A meltdown is 100% guaranteed to happen--- no question about it.


    surf
     
    #1397     Jul 26, 2011
  8. would you be able/willing to tolerate 2% adverse move?
     
    #1398     Jul 26, 2011
  9. I can absorb up to 1337.75 in the account, no further. That's simply not going to happen, so I am not worried about it.
     
    #1399     Jul 26, 2011
  10. Samsara

    Samsara

    I guess, if entertainment value is your litmus test of a "good guy". Leaving aside his haphazard trading record, he's got like... 30 + aliases. Not normal behavior of a ... good guy.

    I think the reality is that Goodboy's grandstanding just provides an adversary for our own soapboxes. We like having someone to rant against. The layman's definition of why that works is "troll".

    Goes back to the folly of self-concern.
     
    #1400     Jul 26, 2011