The stock_trad3r 2007-2008 market recession

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by athlonmank8, Oct 15, 2007.

  1. Still no negative GDP.
     
    #131     Oct 23, 2008
  2. thanks
     
    #132     Oct 23, 2008

  3. :D
     
    #133     Oct 23, 2008

  4. I am prepared to risk my reputation by predicting that, the field has been built, so if you just wait: it is coming to you soon (assuming you've got the brains to really mean a reduction in GDP not negative GDP).
     
    #134     Oct 23, 2008
  5. The word recession stems from the word 'recede', which is to contract. The economy has yet to actually contract since 2001. Slower growth is still expansion, nevertheless.
     
    #135     Oct 23, 2008
  6. I actually believe that even though slower growth is still expansion as you stock_trader say, it is still a problem in terms of development.
     
    #136     Oct 23, 2008
  7. I have no rep, so I'll just say I have no idea what you mean by the diff between reduction in GDP rather than negative GDP.
    Given that, the following comes from the St Louis Fed, because I had just finished reading how GDP had fallen in the 4th quarter when I read the last couple pages of this thread, and had to make sure I wasn't living in some weird alternative universe:

    Latest Observations:
    2007-04-01 11491.4
    2007-07-01 11625.7
    2007-10-01 11620.7 (lower!!! really!!!)
    2008-01-01 11646.0
    2008-04-01 11727.4

    This is real rather than nominal, of course.
    Source: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/GDPC1?cid=106
     
    #137     Oct 23, 2008
  8. BAN!
     
    #138     Oct 23, 2008
  9. Negative gdp would imply that there was negative production.

    So balance of payments if frequently negative but gdp ... is it ever negative?

    Recession requires two quarters of declining GDP (common definition). Depression requires 4 quarters (by one potential definition at least).
     
    #139     Oct 23, 2008
  10. No DJIA 14,000 either and of course no money left in your piggy bank. Too bad, so sad. :(
     
    #140     Oct 23, 2008