The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Daal, Jun 8, 2012.

  1. Daal

    Daal

    #381     Nov 20, 2012
  2. I actually saw this go by this morning, bought and sold a put option quickly for a small profit (found money, why not?), and have been watching it since. Thanks for the post, I was wondering why it suddenly went down again after the statement came out. Time to trade it again...
     
    #382     Nov 20, 2012
  3. Daal

    Daal

    I really like this short. Probably one of the best risk rewards shorts in quite a while

    If there are pesticides(And the statement just raises my confidence that there are, they didn't even tried to pull an EDU and deny stuff) chances of the deal decrease. If the deal falls apart the stock is likely to be headed much lower than the pre-buyout price of $10

    The fact that is an M&A stock makes it a better short due squeezes be capped by takeout price. A raised bid is quite unlikely, specially in light of these news
     
    #383     Nov 20, 2012
  4. Rare thing indeed: a limited risk short. From what I can see it had come down nicely since its IPO. Starbucks probably thought they were getting it cheap. So much for that.
     
    #384     Nov 20, 2012
  5. Daal

    Daal

    This short seems really nice. Seems like a mixture of NXY and FMCN to me, NXY because its more likely than not that the news flow coming down the pipe will increase the spread to the takeout price(stock will go down at least 50 cents-$1 due uncertainty) and FMCN because its likely the people behind the deal will find out some smelly stuff

    With FMCN who knows what is going on behind the scenes, relationships are huge to ibankers so maybe even if they find the fraud they might go ahead with it. But in TEA the reason seemed economical and market share from the get go

    TEA was doing an arbitrage of some people's craving for healthy products and getting an inflated profit margin by lying. Once SBUX finds that out the economics of the deal go out of the window
     
    #385     Nov 20, 2012
  6. Daal

    Daal

    TEA business model is totally bust in a market economy with a relatively free press I just hope they don't get lucky
     
    #386     Nov 20, 2012
  7. Daal

    Daal

    I'm curious how TEA sales representatives will deal with these reports. I might call them tomorrow and over the next weeks because the minute they stop saying that the teas don't have pesticides sales will tank and they can't continue to say because its a lie that the company didn't even address on their PR
     
    #387     Nov 20, 2012
  8. Daal

    Daal

    "Starbucks says assessing short-seller report on Teavana, Bloomberg reports
    Starbucks (SBUX) told Bloomberg in a phone interview that it is assessing short-selling firm Glaucus's report on Teavana (TEA) for its accuracy. Starbucks added, "We're currently going through the formal closing process and cannot comment on rumors or speculation," according to Bloomberg. Teavana shares are down 5% following the short-seller report and Starbucks' comments"
     
    #388     Nov 20, 2012
  9. No TEA to borrow at interactive :(
     
    #389     Nov 20, 2012
  10. Daal

    Daal

    It was borrowable several times through the day. Keep an eye on it
     
    #390     Nov 20, 2012