DT was so close to a slam dunk with his closing statement then blew it. Anyone thinking it's in the bag for him is delusional. The majority of people on the fence are leaning towards KH after this debate.
she picks up some moderates. Trump loses some votes. Betting markets (predictit) moved from even to Kamala up 7.
I noticed predicit usually skews Kamala for some reason. Betting markets are tightening up in general though.
it does skew Kamala while some of the other ones skew Donald. I don’t know why. There must be some limits in arbitraging the different market. It had gone dead heat and is back to Harris +7. polymarket is now dead heat. It was trump +5
Hillary was up like 20 points at this juncture back in the day. I think Trump looked resolute, and I also think he'll swing some PA/MI/WI on the fence soccer moms that get their news from sources other than The View, that fear for their safety. There's a reason home security systems sales are up 900% in the last three years.... and it's not because of an an alleged insurrection on Capital Hill one day by a bunch of idiots wearing moose hats.