The S&P is looking very toppy

Discussion in 'Politics' started by James Stock, Jan 15, 2004.

  1. VOLUME

    VOLUME

    James Stock
    Senior Member

    Registered: Dec 2003
    Posts: 230


    01-15-04 10:27 AM
    The S&P is looking very toppy
    I say the S&P is topping right NOW.




    You posted this when the S+P was in the mid1120's...now it's @ 1136. If you shorted 1125 with size, you are getting crushed.

    Pick a price for your "top" and stick with it.
     
    #71     Jan 19, 2004
  2. Oh, come on...you can do better. We've already went over this. I sold the Jan 1140 calls, and they expired worthless. You gonna criticize the fact that I made $20K?

    As for my "top" call, I said it here, and I haven't wavered.

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?postid=410345#post410345
     
    #72     Jan 19, 2004
  3. The whizbang Fibonacci people are saying the S&P will top in the low 1250s. If you intend to play an 1150 top you may need all of your risk management skills and more. :)
     
    #73     Jan 19, 2004
  4. pspr

    pspr

    James reminds me of the "cat on a hot tin roof". Only there are some snipers across the street taking some shots at him, too.

    It's not wise to be that cat.
     
    #74     Jan 19, 2004
  5. thank you.
     
    #75     Jan 19, 2004
  6. Are the Fib people ever right?

    Not this time.
     
    #76     Jan 19, 2004
  7. The maximum upside on the S&P is between 1150-1170.

    Capitulation day coming soon..
     
    #77     Jan 20, 2004
  8. Pabst

    Pabst

    So are you thinking a rally first?
     
    #78     Jan 20, 2004
  9. Not a rally, just some final short squeezing. But there's little upside left. It's a tough call. I'm just broadening the range in case. It may top as low as 1150, or as high as 1170. Either way, we're close to it.

    The sure sign will be an increase in volatility, coupled with some type of reversal day on larger than normal volume.

    What do you think?
     
    #79     Jan 20, 2004
  10. Pabst

    Pabst

    Well I'm short but I'm non-plussed at the bearish consensus. I had thought today washed out a lot of shorts, now instead I'm thinking a new crop of 'em are now pressing it.
     
    #80     Jan 20, 2004