The S&P 500 will top at 3250

Discussion in 'Trading' started by volente_00, Dec 28, 2019.

Will the S&P top at 3250 and pull back 9.23% ?

  1. Yes but it won't reach your 9.23% pullback

    2 vote(s)
    6.5%
  2. Yes and it will reach your 9.23% level of 2948 SPX

    4 vote(s)
    12.9%
  3. No way, Trump is taking this sucker to 3400

    17 vote(s)
    54.8%
  4. Who cares you are still early to the top

    8 vote(s)
    25.8%
  1. schizo

    schizo

    But I drew that line last month.
     
    #151     Jan 26, 2020
  2. _eug_

    _eug_

    Both May and August had very obvious topping patterns before the sell off began. The May was a bit more tricky but if you used context and realized we were at a fresh ATH which is a logical place to take profits if you were long from the massive rally we had. August sell off was the easiest swing trade man. If you did not get that I dont know what to say. From end of June until End of July the market was in distribution mode, exhausting supports so that the flush can happen.
     
    #152     Jan 26, 2020
  3. Overnight

    Overnight

    They were news-driven events. They were not "obvious topping patterns" from a TA standpoint. And where has the obvious topping point been from Oct 2nd last year until now? Did you see it in November? Middle of December? First week of January, or TONIGHT, where we are down 2 percent from the ATH?

    Maddog 20/20!
     
    #153     Jan 26, 2020
  4. schizo

    schizo

    Chill out. What does it matter, whether it's news-driven or TA-driven, as long as it's moving in your favor? No need to go nuts over nothing.
     
    #154     Jan 26, 2020
  5. Overnight

    Overnight

    I was speaking to _eug. No need to interject in between. :)
     
    #155     Jan 26, 2020
  6. themickey

    themickey

    My belief is, markets were running too hot and a correction is due.
    The Coronavirus is just an excuse the media will use to justify a market move.
    You will notice, there is always a news reason why markets move.
    The reason for this? Media would like to take the credit that news moves markets in order to sell their business.
    Ok, to a small part news has an effect, but company announcements have the bigger effect over and above media news, it's not the media talking heads driving the market imo.
     
    Last edited: Jan 26, 2020
    #156     Jan 26, 2020
    _eug_ likes this.
  7. _eug_

    _eug_

    upload_2020-1-27_9-3-13.png

    Here is the fill from shorting August, right before the trump tweet that sent the market down. This is IB trade confirmation report
     
    #157     Jan 26, 2020
  8. Overnight

    Overnight

    Which makes one wonder...How many little people called up their brokers and told them to sell sell sell? Dump my 401K! Oh no the sky is falling! Turn those machines back on!!!
     
    #158     Jan 26, 2020
  9. Overnight

    Overnight

    So you admit that the move was headline-based? It was fundamental, and not "TA-driven"?

    "The Trump tweet that sent the market down". Sounds fundamental to me.
     
    #159     Jan 26, 2020
  10. _eug_

    _eug_

    Sure but it was setup in advance of the tweet.
     
    #160     Jan 26, 2020