The Renaissance Technologies model has been resolved.

Discussion in 'Journals' started by LargeTrader, Apr 5, 2024.

  1. He's not even an engineer. He hires people to realize his ideas.
     
    #41     Apr 6, 2024
  2. poopy

    poopy


    You mean the stupid shit about Elliot Wave?
     
    #42     Apr 6, 2024
    taowave and themickey like this.
  3. I posted you a real life example that shows EW fib predicting the drop to 16k over a year prior back when price had just reached ATH's. AND don't try to say this is hindsight because the fibonacci levels were measurable back in Nov2021...it required no charting. Go ahead and use the same tool now that we have bottomed to show what price level the 1.618 (impulse) wave reaches.

     
    Last edited: Apr 6, 2024
    #43     Apr 6, 2024
  4. taowave

    taowave

    Total hindsight,and what on earth does Elliot Wave and Fibs have to do with Ren-Tech??





     
    Last edited: Apr 6, 2024
    #44     Apr 6, 2024
  5. It's not hindsight lol...it's foresight. Fib levels don't change based on the chart. It's same reason how I knew Bitcoin would rally to 60k plus early 2024 back in Nov. You can check my posts.

    Here! Proof that I did the same thing during the lows. Semperfrosty knew where it was going. :)

    Screenshot_20240406-200638.jpg
     
    Last edited: Apr 6, 2024
    #45     Apr 6, 2024
    semperfrosty likes this.
  6. themickey

    themickey

    Yup total hindsight re EW and Fibs!
    You know why?
    Because if it wasn't hindsight, a trader would be loading up their positions before the fact due to outright confidence.
    But they don't because like RSI, MA's and every other TA indicator under the sun, they all can have partial merit, slight probability, maybe slightly better than random sometimes, but when you add slippage and fees and running costs, there is a profit or loss which is not worth the effort.
     
    #46     Apr 7, 2024
  7. And here I was,trying to stay out of it! :D

    Dragged in unwillingly by the ghost of October 2nd! :D:D
     
    #47     Apr 7, 2024
    wxytrader likes this.
  8. taowave

    taowave

    WX, I personally know 2 extremely successful guys who employ Elliot wave,and several guys who are really great traders who apply Stage analysis.

    One of the Elliot Wave guys you have already mentioned.

    Elliot Wave is as predictive as flipping a coin,and that's on a good day,yet one of the traders is one of the most successful in the world.

    You are trading a sub 25k account,and its painfully obvious as to why....

    Talk/brag less,listen more
     
    Last edited: Apr 7, 2024
    #48     Apr 7, 2024
  9. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    he meant to write re in essence. Which he probably some cheap perfume he wears.
     
    #49     Apr 7, 2024
  10. I just showed you that EW is not flipping a coin. Here I'll do you a solid. Run the fib extension tool from the swing low to the swing high, there are actually two so you can get some confluence. Now YOU can forecast the next 2 price targets and even the time frame. No charting required whatsoever.

    btw I'm testing on sub 25k account. I actually don't need much more though to create the income I'm looking for. A good trader shouldn't need a huge account for decent returns. Those reddit guys are trading with a 10M account...their actual rate of return is pretty average.
     
    Last edited: Apr 7, 2024
    #50     Apr 7, 2024