The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Jul 27, 2016.

  1. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark





    This poll had 35 D and 26 R and were only 1 point off from the actual results


    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]


    Just my opinion but I think these pollsters are better at polling than the jem algo.
     
    #631     Oct 23, 2016
  2. WeToddDid2

    WeToddDid2

  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    #633     Oct 23, 2016
  4. jem

    jem

    being that obama won by 4 that would be an odd coincidence.... and remember for a a time Ronmney was leading so it took a slanted poll to make it look like obama was leading...

    but...
    1. how do you know what that template was?


     
    #634     Oct 23, 2016
  5. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    #635     Oct 23, 2016
  6. jem

    jem

    #636     Oct 23, 2016
  7. Foolish chap:


    Eric Trump Poses With Woman Wearing ‘Latina Against Trump’ Shirt
    “It stands as a testament to the lack of diversity surrounding that campaign.”


    [​IMG]

    Here’s one message that got lost in translation.

    At rally for Donald Trump Friday, the nominee’s son Eric Trump and his wife, Lara, posed for a photo with a young woman wearing a shirt that said “Latina contra Trump.”

    The shirt’s message translates as “Latina against Trump.”

    “Congrats, y’all played yourselves,” the shirt’s wearer, 23-year-old Annie Cardelle, posted on Twitter alongside photos from the pro-Trump event in Salisbury, North Carolina.

    Annie, who attended the event with her 17-year-old sister, Ceci Cardelle, said she was “shocked” that they were able to pull off the baldfaced stunt.
     
    #637     Oct 24, 2016
  8. achilles28

    achilles28

  9. achilles28

    achilles28

    Is it possible you may be wrong?

    I just ran the math. Printed out the "Gallup Party Affiliation" historical trends and keep it on the desk. Looks like Republican affiliation polled strongly at 27% as a low point. And 32% for a Democratic party affiliation high point. A spread of 5%.

    The spread in the polling you just cited puts the spread at 10%, advantage Democrat. Democratic voters are over sampled, as the hacked emailed exposed they do pre-meditately to skew the polls. Independents were also under-sampled by about 5%.. They help Trump.
     
    #639     Oct 24, 2016
  10. #640     Oct 24, 2016