The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Jul 27, 2016.

  1. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Obama was different and brought enthusiasm that most democratic politicians don't.I too think NC will be close,1 or 2 point victory imo.The fact that it has been close the last 3 elections after going to republicans from 1980-2004 signals a major shift towards democrats in NC imo.
     
    #621     Oct 23, 2016
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    The demographics of our state lean more Democratic each year as people move in from out of state to the Raleigh and Charlotte areas.

    I will note that in previous elections that Republican households were not very enthusiastic about McCain or Romney, but seem wildly enthusiastic about Trump. Likewise Democratic households are showing little enthusiasm about Hillary in the current election but were strongly enthusiastic about Obama in previous elections.
     
    #622     Oct 23, 2016
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  3. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    I agree democrats aren't enthusiastic about Hillary so you wont see many yard signs etc for her.I think democrats are enthusiastic about stopping Trump and will show up at the polls in droves to stop him.
     
    #623     Oct 23, 2016
    piezoe likes this.
  4. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    You may be right. We will see on November 8th.

    I just hope the day comes soon so we can get the continuous attack ads off TV and go back to seeing commercials for normal consumer products.
     
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2016
    #624     Oct 23, 2016
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  5. jem

    jem

    If you think that 33 percent more democrats are going to vote... that abc poll would be legit.
    dems 36- reps 27- Inds 31

    what a ridiculous poll.









     
    #625     Oct 23, 2016
  6. jem

    jem

    this is the case in michigan as well. nothing for hillary lots of trump. according to relatives

    an la radio station (am 640) had a debate watching party at a convention hall in orange county ca last week.

    when they asked who was for hillary, then stein etc...
    more for stein showed up than hillary. of course is was mostly trump.

     
    #626     Oct 23, 2016
  7. jem

    jem

    I note kellyanne conway was in the news on drudge today talking about the 2012 template vs what might show up on november 8th. I tell you, many on the left and right get their ideas here at times.
     
    #627     Oct 23, 2016
  8. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    ABC poll 10-13-2012

    [​IMG]

    ABC poll 11-4-2012



    [​IMG]




    Obama won by + 4
     
    #628     Oct 23, 2016
  9. jem

    jem

    i note I just read the ibd poll..

    its 28 dem 22 Rep 25 Ind

    and trump leads by 2.

    trump may be winning outside the margin of error if you use the 2012 template.
     
    #629     Oct 23, 2016
  10. jem

    jem

    well lets see if they change their ridiculous template between now and election day.

     
    #630     Oct 23, 2016