From today.7 polls has Hillary ahead,1 has Trump ahead, Rasmussen.jem believes Rasmussen and thinks Trump is ahead.
Because Obama won by 126 electoral votes jem.If Romney was ever in the lead that means something happened to make Romney lose around 126 electoral votes and Obama gain 126 electoral votes.There was nothing catastrophic enough in that race to make Romney lose that much support jem,he never had it.
No,that does not make them bad polls.No poll has the winning candidate ahead in all of their polls,but the good polls has the winner right in most of their polls.Rasmussen on the other hand has the losing candidate ahead in most of their polls.
so the ts algo says you can predict the winner by time spent leading? do they teach that in polling school? So all you have to do is over sample for 80% of the time and under sample for a few weeks and your chosen candidate will win? cmon, even low info lefties don't believe you. you always seem to confuse picking the winner in a a binary outcome with good polling craft. But, then you irrationally discount you favorite polls terrible results in 2014 because it doesn't fit your desires.
Had did your favorites do in 2014. the above is Rasmuessen call in front of the 2014 senate election. i remember... many of your crappy pollsters were saying the dems could hold onto the senate that summer before the election. nate silver was calling it close to. (although he did his own herd move to big win for Rs later .
Jem I don't follow midterms much and right now I don't have the time to look at every poll from every Governor and Congressional race in 2014.The TS algo specializes in Presidential races. I recall PPP said they were the most accurate in 2014 Governors races.
New RCP poll.PRRI/The Atlantic Hillary + 6 http://www.theatlantic.com/press-re...ong-white-working-class-likely-voters/503135/ New PRRI/The Atlantic Survey: Clinton Leads Trump Post-Debate Narrowly by 47-41, But Still Lags Among White Working Class Likely Voters Results from newly released polling provides insights on voter sentiment along lines of geographic mobility, religion, age; report and full results online now 10:11 AM ET Press Releases Washington, D.C. (October 6, 2016)—Hillary Clinton continues to hold a narrow line against Donald Trump, bolstered by a modest bump following the first presidential debate, according to a before-and-after PRRI/The Atlantic survey released Thursday. In the days following the debate, Clinton’s support among likely voters jumped four percentage points to 47 percent, the survey showed, while Trump’s support fell to 41 percent
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/top-latino-polling-firm-trump-190615552.html Top Latino polling firm: Trump is headed for a historic, lopsided loss among the key group October 6, 2016 A top Latino polling firm released a model on Thursday that projected Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton would receive the largest portion of the Latino vote in recorded history in the upcoming November 8 election. The model, from Latino Decisions, showed Clinton with a projected 82% of support among Latinos. Republican nominee Donald Trump received 15% support in the forecast, and third-party options garnered just 3%. The spread would be greater than the previous widest differential, which occurred in the 1996 election. That year, former President Bill Clinton bested Republican nominee Bob Dole 72% to 21% among Latino voters. Records on Latino voting preferences stretches back to the 1980 election, according to Latino Decisions. "We are highly confident that — barring any major unforeseen change — Trump's Latino vote will fall between 9.5% and 20.5%," Justin Gross, the chief statistician at Latino Decisions and assistant professor of political science at University of Massachusetts Amherst, said in a statement. "Furthermore, support for third-party candidates seems to be lagging behind the electorate at large this election season, making it extremely likely that we will see Clinton’s share of the Latino vote surpass the 71% Obama earned in 2012 and the 72% Bill Clinton earned in 1996," he continued. "Today, our model estimates 82% vote for Clinton and we are highly confident that it will be somewhere between 76.5% and 87.5%." The margin of error in the model is 5.5 percentage points. Trump has come under fire along the campaign trail for comments he made when he launched his campaign about immigrants who came to the country illegally from Latin America, namely Mexico. In that speech, Trump said Mexico was sending "rapists" and other criminals across the border. Trump has also championed building a massive wall along the US-Mexico border.