The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Jul 27, 2016.

  1. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    Gallup was the 2nd worst rcp pollster in 2012 behind Rasmuessen.
     
    #451     Oct 4, 2016
  2. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Seems they were accurate in 2012,but so we're many others.If 5 accurate pollsters from 2008 and 2012 have Hillary ahead and 1 accurate pollster from 2012 has Trump ahead I side with the majority.
     
    #452     Oct 4, 2016
  3. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Something good did come from the skewed polled nonsense in 2012,it got that jackass Dick Morris fired from Fox:D
     
    #453     Oct 4, 2016
    Ricter likes this.
  4. fhl

    fhl

    Every time till now someone has brought up an individual polster in this thread, you've claimed that the rcp avg is the be all and end all of polling. That it's all that really counts.

    Now you say you're going to go with individual pollsters who agree with you on Hillary.
    Which is it, Tony?

    Global warming crusher crew playbook was to rebut every single post made by the opposition and drown out any other viewpoints. And to always get the last word. Clinton campaign paid trolls use the same playbook.

    Do you know how obvious it has become that you're a paid troll for Clinton?

    "The Daily Beast reports that Clinton SuperPac “Correct the Record” is openly admitting to spending $1 million to hire fake online Hillary supporters to swarm social media sites like Reddit..."
     
    #454     Oct 4, 2016
  5. jem

    jem

    the skewed polls theory was prefect in 2014. even after the herding many of the the polls were skewed in favor of the democrats by a lot.

    next... since the polls have been off by about the margin for error in the recent presidential races. And the races themselves have been typically pretty close. You might say any correct results were coincidence.

     
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2016
    #455     Oct 4, 2016
  6. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    I never said the rcp avg was the be all and end of polling fhl ,I said who was ahead in the majority of the rcp polls was the the best method.at the end of many of my posts I say hillary is ahead in 8 of the last 10 polls and Trump is ahead in 1 of the last 10 (or whatever the current numbers are).I rarely if ever site the rcp avg winning margin.
     
    #456     Oct 4, 2016
  7. Ok...lets ignore logic for a second and just say you are right. Lets say Gallop completely missed the ball and 53.2% of Americans really are democrats. Then why hasn't Clinton broke 50% in polling? The poll from Reuters even says that only 76% of Republicans are going to vote for Trump. I mean if they are polling 53.2% democrats and 24% of all republicans are going to vote for her, she should be up way more than she is. The math does not add up.

    To quote her...why isn't she up 50 points?
     
    #457     Oct 4, 2016
  8. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    6- 8 out of 10 polls having the winning candidate ahead most times isn't a coincidence imo.
     
    #458     Oct 4, 2016
  9. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    There are around 40 % of Americans who are going to vote for the republican or against the democrat no matter who the nominee is.
     
    #459     Oct 4, 2016
  10. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    New poll.Madam Hillary + 6

    http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/da...holds-national-lead-over-donald-trump-n658721

    Poll: Hillary Clinton Holds National Lead Over Donald Trump
    by Hannah Hartig, John Lapinski and Stephanie Psyllos

    Oct 4 2016, 6:01 am ET



    [​IMG]
    Put-Downs and Comebacks: The Best Zingers From Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton


    As the campaign heads into the final stretch, Hillary Clinton holds a 46 percent to 40 percent lead over Donald Trump, according to latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll. Libertarian Gary Johnson is down slightly from last week with 9 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein holds steady with 3 percent.
     
    #460     Oct 4, 2016